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Spartak Moscow vs Rubin

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29
Spartak Moscow
#4 · Premier League
LWLWD
VS
Lukoil Arena, Moscow
Rubin
#7 · Premier League
WDWDD
54.3%
Home Win
21.2%
Draw
24.5%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.87
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.84 (implied 54.2%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.9% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.79. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Spartak Moscow will face Rubin in the Premier League at Lukoil Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Spartak Moscow has a 54.3% probability of winning this match. Rubin has a 24.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.2%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Rubin are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Rubin have a solid defence with 0.3 goals conceded per game
  • Rubin have kept clean sheets in 61% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Spartak Moscow54.3%1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.555.9%1.84
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No54.5%1.71
Based on avg. implied odds from 3 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-0
5.50
18.2%
2-0
6.25
16%
1-1
7.20
13.9%
2-1
7.90
12.7%
0-0
9.30
10.8%
3-0
10.50
9.5%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.57Draw 4.17Away 6.28
O/U 2.5Over 2.04Under 1.84
O/U 1.5Over 1.30Under 3.24
O/U 3.5Over 3.43Under 1.28
BTTSYes 2.03No 1.71
Double Chance1X 1.1512 1.26X2 2.51

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
71.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
44.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
27.1%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Krasnodar
28196356213563
WWWDD
2
Zenit
28188250183262
WWDWD
3
Lokomotiv
281311452361650
DLDWD
4
Spartak Moscow
2814684538748
LWLWD
5
Baltika
281113437181946
LLDDD
6
CSKA Moscow
2813693931845
LDDDL
7
Rubin
2811982626042
WDWDD
14
Dinamo Makhachkala
2859141836-1824
LLDLD
15
Nizhny Novgorod
2864182346-2322
LLLDD
16
FC Sochi
2863192757-3021
WLWWW

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Spartak MoscowRubin
1.7Goals p.g.1.17
1.3Goals conceded p.g.0.33
25%Clean sheets61%
55%Win rate56%
3Avg goals in match1.5

Recent Results

Spartak MoscowLAST MATCHES
01 MayKrylia Sovetov2–1Spartak MoscowPremier League
26 AprNizhny Novgorod1–2Spartak MoscowPremier League
23 AprSpartak Moscow1–2FC KrasnodarPremier League
19 AprSpartak Moscow3–1AkhmatPremier League
12 AprFC Rostov1–1Spartak MoscowPremier League
08 AprZenit0–0Spartak MoscowCup
11Win55%
4Draw20%
5Lost25%
LAST MATCHESRubin
02 MayBaltika0–1RubinPremier League
25 AprRubin0–0CSKA MoscowPremier League
22 AprDynamo0–1RubinPremier League
18 AprRubin1–1AkronPremier League
11 AprRubin0–0FC OrenburgPremier League
06 AprFC Sochi0–1RubinPremier League
10Win56%
4Draw22%
2Lost11%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Spartak Moscow

No reported absences

Rubin

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.84 (55.9%)
●Value Bets
Spartak Moscow Win1.57 (54.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (44.1%)
Both Teams Score2.03 (45.5%)
BTTS No1.71 (54.5%)
●Speculative
Draw4.17 (21.2%)
Rubin Win6.28 (24.5%)
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Predictions, Stats, H2H - 11 May 2026 | SureTipsPro