FC Orenburg vs Krylia Sovetov

FC Orenburg
#13 · Premier League
LWWLD
VS
Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg

Krylia Sovetov
#11 · Premier League
WWLDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Orenburg will face Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League at Gazovik Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Orenburg has a 45.5% probability of winning this match. Krylia Sovetov has a 31% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.4%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — FC Orenburg45.5%2.08
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.4%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%1.70
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.15
16.3%
1-0
7.35
13.6%
2-1
8.20
12.2%
0-0
9.31
10.8%
2-0
9.84
10.2%
0-1
10.13
9.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.08 | Draw 3.47 | Away 3.50 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.91 | Under 1.95 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.26 | Under 3.55 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.07 | Under 1.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.70 | No 2.04 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.29 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.79 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.8%
Over 1.5 Goals73.8%
Over 2.5 Goals48.6%
Over 3.5 Goals30.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 63 | WWWDD | |
| 2 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 62 | WWDWD | |
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 50 | DLDWD | |
| 4 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 48 | LWLWD | |
| 5 | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 46 | LLDDD | |
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 45 | LDDDL | |
| 11 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 29 | WWLDD | |
| 13 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 26 | LWWLD | |
| 14 | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 24 | LLDLD | |
| 15 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 22 | LLLDD | |
| 16 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 21 | WLWWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFC OrenburgKrylia Sovetov
1.06Goals p.g.1.5
0.94Goals conceded p.g.1.5
22%Clean sheets25%
39%Win rate40%
2Avg goals in match3
Recent Results
FC OrenburgLAST MATCHES
03 MayFC Sochi3–1FC OrenburgPremier League
25 AprFC Rostov0–1FC OrenburgPremier League
22 AprFC Orenburg2–1Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
18 AprFC Orenburg0–1LokomotivPremier League
11 AprRubin0–0FC OrenburgPremier League
04 AprDynamo3–3FC OrenburgPremier League
7Win39%
2Draw11%
6Lost33%
LAST MATCHESKrylia Sovetov
01 MayKrylia Sovetov2–1Spartak MoscowPremier League
25 AprKrylia Sovetov2–0LokomotivPremier League
21 AprFC Sochi2–1Krylia SovetovPremier League
18 AprKrylia Sovetov1–1CSKA MoscowPremier League
11 AprKrylia Sovetov2–2AkhmatPremier League
07 AprKrylia Sovetov2–5CSKA MoscowCup
8Win40%
4Draw20%
7Lost35%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
FC Orenburg
No reported absences
Krylia Sovetov
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
FC Orenburg Win2.08 (45.5%)
Krylia Sovetov Win3.50 (31%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.91 (48.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.95 (51.4%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (53.1%)
BTTS No2.04 (46.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.47 (23.4%)









