Lokomotiv vs Baltika
Lokomotiv
#3 · Premier League
DLDWD
VS
RZD Arena, Moscow
Baltika
#5 · Premier League
LLDDD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.85
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.79 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 53.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Lokomotiv will face Baltika in the Premier League at RZD Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lokomotiv has a 50.6% probability of winning this match. Baltika has a 25.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.7%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Lokomotiv50.6%2.02
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.8%1.79
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.83
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.01
16.6%
1-0
6.34
15.8%
2-1
8.13
12.3%
2-0
8.75
11.4%
0-0
9.16
10.9%
0-1
9.35
10.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.02 | Draw 3.41 | Away 3.75 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.08 | Under 1.79 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.31 | Under 3.19 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.57 | Under 1.26 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.83 | No 1.88 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.26 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.84 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.3%
Over 1.5 Goals70.8%
Over 2.5 Goals46.2%
Over 3.5 Goals26.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 63 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 62 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Lokomotiv | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 50 | DLDWD |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 48 | LWLWD |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 46 | LLDDD |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 45 | LDDDL |
| 14 |  Dinamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 24 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 22 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 21 | WLWWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLokomotivBaltika
1.79Goals p.g.1.17
1.26Goals conceded p.g.0.83
26%Clean sheets33%
47%Win rate33%
3.05Avg goals in match2
Recent Results
LokomotivLAST MATCHES
01 MayLokomotiv1–1DynamoPremier League
25 AprKrylia Sovetov2–0LokomotivPremier League
22 AprLokomotiv0–0ZenitPremier League
18 AprFC Orenburg0–1LokomotivPremier League
12 AprLokomotiv1–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
05 AprSpartak Moscow2–1LokomotivPremier League
9Win47%
6Draw32%
4Lost21%
LAST MATCHESBaltika
02 MayBaltika0–1RubinPremier League
27 AprBaltika0–1AkronPremier League
23 AprAkhmat1–1BaltikaPremier League
19 AprFC Krasnodar2–2BaltikaPremier League
11 AprBaltika2–2Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
05 AprDinamo Makhachkala2–2BaltikaPremier League
6Win33%
7Draw39%
4Lost22%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLokomotiv
No reported absences
Baltika
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Lokomotiv Win2.02 (50.6%)
Baltika Win3.75 (25.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.08 (46.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.79 (53.8%)
Both Teams Score1.83 (51%)
BTTS No1.88 (49%)
Speculative
Draw3.41 (23.7%)
