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Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29
Akhmat
#9 · Premier League
WLDLD
VS
Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj
Dinamo Makhachkala
#14 · Premier League
LLDLD
48.6%
Home Win
25.4%
Draw
26.1%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 59.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Akhmat will face Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League at Akhmat-Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Akhmat has a 48.6% probability of winning this match. Dinamo Makhachkala has a 26.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.4%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Dinamo Makhachkala have kept clean sheets in 42% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Akhmat48.6%2.30
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.559%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No52.3%1.73
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
5.62
17.8%
1-0
5.72
17.5%
0-0
7.02
14.3%
0-1
7.41
13.5%
2-1
9.15
10.9%
2-0
9.31
10.8%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.30Draw 3.11Away 3.33
O/U 2.5Over 2.46Under 1.59
O/U 1.5Over 1.44Under 2.67
O/U 3.5Over 4.59Under 1.17
BTTSYes 1.99No 1.73
Double Chance1X 1.3312 1.37X2 1.62

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
20.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Krasnodar
28196356213563
WWWDD
2
Zenit
28188250183262
WWDWD
3
Lokomotiv
281311452361650
DLDWD
4
Spartak Moscow
2814684538748
LWLWD
5
Baltika
281113437181946
LLDDD
6
CSKA Moscow
2813693931845
LDDDL
9
Akhmat
2898113337-435
WLDLD
14
Dinamo Makhachkala
2859141836-1824
LLDLD
15
Nizhny Novgorod
2864182346-2322
LLLDD
16
FC Sochi
2863192757-3021
WLWWW

Key Statistics

2025 Season
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
1.44Goals p.g.1.47
1.06Goals conceded p.g.0.89
39%Clean sheets42%
44%Win rate47%
2.5Avg goals in match2.37

Recent Results

AkhmatLAST MATCHES
03 MayAkhmat2–0Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
26 AprZenit2–0AkhmatPremier League
23 AprAkhmat1–1BaltikaPremier League
19 AprSpartak Moscow3–1AkhmatPremier League
11 AprKrylia Sovetov2–2AkhmatPremier League
04 AprAkhmat0–1FC KrasnodarPremier League
8Win44%
5Draw28%
5Lost28%
LAST MATCHESDinamo Makhachkala
02 MayDinamo Makhachkala1–2FC RostovPremier League
26 AprFC Krasnodar2–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
23 AprAkron1–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
19 AprDinamo Makhachkala0–1ZenitPremier League
12 AprLokomotiv1–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
05 AprDinamo Makhachkala2–2BaltikaPremier League
9Win47%
4Draw21%
6Lost32%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Akhmat

No reported absences

Dinamo Makhachkala

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.59 (59%)
●Value Bets
Akhmat Win2.30 (48.6%)
Draw3.11 (25.4%)
Dinamo Makhachkala Win3.33 (26.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.46 (41%)
Both Teams Score1.99 (47.7%)
BTTS No1.73 (52.3%)
Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro