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Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30
Rubin
#7 · Premier League
WDWDD
VS
Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Nizhny Novgorod
#15 · Premier League
LLLDD
56.2%
Home Win
23.3%
Draw
20.5%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.82
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 (implied 55.6%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 60.1% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.66. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Rubin will face Nizhny Novgorod in the Premier League at Ak Bars Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Rubin has a 56.2% probability of winning this match. Nizhny Novgorod has a 20.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.3%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Rubin are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Rubin sit 7th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
  • Rubin boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.3 goals per game
  • Rubin have kept clean sheets in 61% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
1 — Rubin56.2%2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.560.1%1.80
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No55.7%1.87
Based on avg. implied odds from 2 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.17
16.2%
1-0
6.28
15.9%
2-1
8.25
12.1%
2-0
8.80
11.4%
0-1
8.90
11.2%
0-0
9.10
11%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.10Draw 3.69Away 3.61
O/U 2.5Over 2.12Under 1.80
O/U 1.5Over 1.32Under 3.10
O/U 3.5Over 3.65Under 1.24
BTTSYes 1.84No 1.87
Double Chance1X 1.3312 1.32X2 1.81

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
Over 1.5 Goals
70.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
39.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
25.4%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Krasnodar
28196356213563
WWWDD
2
Zenit
28188250183262
WWDWD
3
Lokomotiv
281311452361650
DLDWD
4
Spartak Moscow
2814684538748
LWLWD
5
Baltika
281113437181946
LLDDD
6
CSKA Moscow
2813693931845
LDDDL
7
Rubin
2811982626042
WDWDD
14
Dinamo Makhachkala
2859141836-1824
LLDLD
15
Nizhny Novgorod
2864182346-2322
LLLDD
16
FC Sochi
2863192757-3021
WLWWW

Key Statistics

2025 Season
RubinNizhny Novgorod
1.17Goals p.g.1
0.33Goals conceded p.g.1.39
61%Clean sheets17%
56%Win rate28%
1.5Avg goals in match2.39

Recent Results

RubinLAST MATCHES
02 MayBaltika0–1RubinPremier League
25 AprRubin0–0CSKA MoscowPremier League
22 AprDynamo0–1RubinPremier League
18 AprRubin1–1AkronPremier League
11 AprRubin0–0FC OrenburgPremier League
06 AprFC Sochi0–1RubinPremier League
10Win56%
4Draw22%
2Lost11%
LAST MATCHESNizhny Novgorod
03 MayAkhmat2–0Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
26 AprNizhny Novgorod1–2Spartak MoscowPremier League
22 AprFC Orenburg2–1Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
18 AprNizhny Novgorod1–1DynamoPremier League
11 AprBaltika2–2Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
05 AprNizhny Novgorod0–1FC RostovPremier League
5Win28%
3Draw17%
8Lost44%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Rubin

No reported absences

Nizhny Novgorod

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Rubin Win2.10 (56.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.80 (60.1%)
BTTS No1.87 (55.7%)
●Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.12 (39.9%)
Both Teams Score1.84 (44.3%)
●Speculative
Draw3.69 (23.3%)
Nizhny Novgorod Win3.61 (20.5%)
Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod Predictions, Stats, H2H - 17 May 2026 | SureTipsPro