Nice vs Metz
Nice
#15 · Ligue 1
DDWDD
VS
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Metz
#18 · Ligue 1
LDDLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 52.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Nice will face Metz in the Ligue 1 at Allianz Riviera.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Nice has a 65.7% probability of winning this match. Metz has a 14.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Nice are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Both teams average a combined 2.0 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Nice65.7%1.48
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.2%1.81
Both Teams to Score
No52.7%1.62
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.10
19.6%
2-0
5.60
17.9%
1-1
7.80
12.8%
2-1
8.50
11.8%
3-0
9.00
11.1%
0-0
10.50
9.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.48 | Draw 4.64 | Away 7.90 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.17 | Under 1.81 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.34 | Under 3.20 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.70 | Under 1.26 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.27 | No 1.62 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.11 | 12 1.23 | X2 2.84 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.2%
Over 1.5 Goals70.5%
Over 2.5 Goals48.8%
Over 3.5 Goals25.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 | DDDDL |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonNiceMetz
1.11Goals p.g.0.89
1.44Goals conceded p.g.2.22
28%Clean sheets17%
22%Win rate0%
2.56Avg goals in match3.11
Recent Results
NiceLAST MATCHES
02 MayNice1–1LensLigue 1
26 AprMarseille1–1NiceLigue 1
22 AprStrasbourg0–2NiceCoupe de France
18 AprLille0–0NiceLigue 1
12 AprNice1–1Le HavreLigue 1
04 AprStrasbourg3–1NiceLigue 1
4Win22%
8Draw44%
6Lost33%
LAST MATCHESMetz
02 MayMetz1–2MonacoLigue 1
29 AprSeraing United1–1MetzFriendlies Clubs
26 AprLe Havre4–4MetzLigue 1
19 AprMetz1–3Paris FCLigue 1
10 AprMarseille3–1MetzLigue 1
05 AprMetz0–0NantesLigue 1
0Win0%
6Draw33%
12Lost67%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNice
No reported absences
Metz
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Nice Win1.48 (65.7%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.17 (48.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.81 (51.2%)
Both Teams Score2.27 (47.3%)
BTTS No1.62 (52.7%)
Speculative
Draw4.64 (19.4%)
Metz Win7.90 (14.9%)
