Home›Eredivisie›NAC Breda vs Heerenveen Predictions

NAC Breda vs Heerenveen

EredivisieRegular Season - 33
NAC Breda
#17 · Eredivisie
LLDDL
VS
Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Heerenveen
#7 · Eredivisie
WWLWD
34.2%
Home Win
21.4%
Draw
44.4%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Heerenveen to Win
Slight away form and superior underlying numbers over NAC Breda make Heerenveen the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.62
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.53 (implied 39.5%) for Heerenveen to Win. Our model calculates a 44.4% probability, which translates to fair odds of 2.25. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , NAC Breda will face Heerenveen in the Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that NAC Breda has a 34.2% probability of winning this match. Heerenveen has a 44.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.4%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Heerenveen have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Heerenveen sit 7th in the table, 10 places above their opponents

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Heerenveen44.4%2.53
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.563.8%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes64.9%1.39
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
7.54
13.3%
2-1
9.16
11%
1-2
9.45
10.6%
2-2
9.89
10.2%
1-0
12.61
8%
0-1
12.92
7.8%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.44Draw 3.73Away 2.53
O/U 2.5Over 1.43Under 2.67
O/U 1.5Over 1.12Under 5.69
O/U 3.5Over 2.12Under 1.70
BTTSYes 1.39No 2.79
Double Chance1X 1.4812 1.25X2 1.52

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
63.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
44.5%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Eredivisie Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
PSV Eindhoven
32253492434978
DWWWL
2
Feyenoord
32187767432461
WWDDD
3
NEC Nijmegen
321511674502456
DDDWD
4
Ajax
321413561392255
DWWLD
5
Twente
321413554351955
DDWWW
6
AZ Alkmaar
32148105447750
DDWWL
7
Heerenveen
32148105751650
WWLWD
16
FC Volendam
3287173352-1931
LWLDL
17
NAC Breda
32510173055-2525
LLDDL
18
Heracles
3254233480-4619
LLLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
NAC BredaHeerenveen
0.88Goals p.g.1.88
1.88Goals conceded p.g.1.75
25%Clean sheets12%
12%Win rate56%
2.75Avg goals in match3.62

Recent Results

NAC BredaLAST MATCHES
02 MayUtrecht2–0NAC BredaEredivisie
25 AprNAC Breda0–2AjaxEredivisie
12 AprFortuna Sittard1–1NAC BredaEredivisie
05 AprNAC Breda0–0Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
21 MarPEC Zwolle2–1NAC BredaEredivisie
15 MarGO Ahead Eagles6–0NAC BredaEredivisie
2Win13%
6Draw38%
8Lost50%
LAST MATCHESHeerenveen
03 MayFC Volendam0–2HeerenveenEredivisie
25 AprHeerenveen2–1Fortuna SittardEredivisie
12 AprAZ Alkmaar3–0HeerenveenEredivisie
05 AprHeerenveen4–1HeraclesEredivisie
22 MarNEC Nijmegen2–2HeerenveenEredivisie
14 MarHeerenveen3–0TelstarEredivisie
9Win56%
2Draw13%
5Lost31%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

NAC Breda

No reported absences

Heerenveen

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.43 (63.8%)
Both Teams Score1.39 (64.9%)
●Value Bets
NAC Breda Win2.44 (34.2%)
Heerenveen Win2.53 (44.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.67 (36.2%)
BTTS No2.79 (35.1%)
●Speculative
Draw3.73 (21.4%)
NAC Breda vs Heerenveen Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro