Excelsior vs FC Volendam
Excelsior
#14 · Eredivisie
WWDLD
VS
Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
FC Volendam
#16 · Eredivisie
LWLDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Excelsior will face FC Volendam in the Eredivisie at Stadion Woudestein.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Excelsior has a 55% probability of winning this match. FC Volendam has a 23.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.1%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Excelsior55%1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.9%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.4%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.33
13.7%
2-1
7.59
13.2%
1-0
8.90
11.3%
2-0
9.42
10.7%
3-1
11.57
8.7%
2-2
11.95
8.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.73 | Draw 3.92 | Away 4.16 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.57 | Under 2.36 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.82 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.38 | Under 1.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.54 | No 2.31 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.21 | 12 1.22 | X2 2.06 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93%
Over 1.5 Goals80.6%
Over 2.5 Goals56.9%
Over 3.5 Goals39.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 92 | 43 | 49 | 78 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 61 | WWDDD |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 74 | 50 | 24 | 56 | DDDWD |
| 4 |  Ajax | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 55 | DWWLD |
| 5 |  Twente | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 55 | DDWWW |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 | DDWWL |
| 14 | Excelsior | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 34 | WWDLD |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 31 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 18 |  Heracles | 32 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 34 | 80 | -46 | 19 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonExcelsiorFC Volendam
1.44Goals p.g.1.06
1.62Goals conceded p.g.1.41
19%Clean sheets12%
19%Win rate35%
3.06Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
ExcelsiorLAST MATCHES
02 MayGroningen2–3ExcelsiorEredivisie
26 AprExcelsior5–0UtrechtEredivisie
12 AprPEC Zwolle2–2ExcelsiorEredivisie
04 AprExcelsior0–2NEC NijmegenEredivisie
20 MarHeracles1–1ExcelsiorEredivisie
15 MarFeyenoord2–1ExcelsiorEredivisie
3Win19%
6Draw38%
7Lost44%
LAST MATCHESFC Volendam
03 MayFC Volendam0–2HeerenveenEredivisie
26 AprHeracles0–2FC VolendamEredivisie
10 AprTwente2–1FC VolendamEredivisie
05 AprFC Volendam0–0FeyenoordEredivisie
25 MarAjax2–2FC VolendamFriendlies Clubs
21 MarSparta Rotterdam2–0FC VolendamEredivisie
6Win35%
3Draw18%
8Lost47%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersExcelsior
No reported absences
FC Volendam
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Excelsior Win1.73 (55%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.57 (56.9%)
Both Teams Score1.54 (58.4%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.36 (43.1%)
BTTS No2.31 (41.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.92 (21.1%)
FC Volendam Win4.16 (23.9%)
