Monaco vs Lille
Monaco
#6 · Ligue 1
WDDLW
VS
Stade Louis II, Monaco
Referee: C. Turpin
Lille
#4 · Ligue 1
DWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Monaco will face Lille in the Ligue 1 at Stade Louis II.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Monaco has a 43.3% probability of winning this match. Lille has a 34.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lille have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Lille are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Lille have a solid defence with 0.7 goals conceded per game
- Lille have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Monaco43.3%2.35
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.6%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%1.51
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.82
14.7%
2-1
8.57
11.7%
1-2
9.36
10.8%
1-0
9.93
10.1%
2-2
10.88
9.3%
0-1
11.01
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.35 | Draw 3.65 | Away 2.73 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.63 | Under 2.27 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.18 | Under 4.53 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.52 | Under 1.48 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.51 | No 2.42 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.43 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.57 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.7%
Over 1.5 Goals79.3%
Over 2.5 Goals53.6%
Over 3.5 Goals37%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonMonacoLille
1.94Goals p.g.1.05
1.35Goals conceded p.g.0.74
29%Clean sheets47%
53%Win rate47%
3.29Avg goals in match1.79
Recent Results
MonacoLAST MATCHES
02 MayMetz1–2MonacoLigue 1
25 AprToulouse2–2MonacoLigue 1
19 AprMonaco2–2AuxerreLigue 1
10 AprParis FC4–1MonacoLigue 1
05 AprMonaco2–1MarseilleLigue 1
22 MarLyon1–2MonacoLigue 1
9Win53%
5Draw29%
3Lost18%
LAST MATCHESLille
03 MayLille1–1Le HavreLigue 1
26 AprParis FC0–1LilleLigue 1
18 AprLille0–0NiceLigue 1
12 AprToulouse0–4LilleLigue 1
04 AprLille3–0LensLigue 1
22 MarMarseille1–2LilleLigue 1
9Win47%
5Draw26%
5Lost26%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersMonaco
No reported absences
Lille
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.51 (57.6%)
Value Bets
Monaco Win2.35 (43.3%)
Lille Win2.73 (34.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.63 (53.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.27 (46.4%)
BTTS No2.42 (42.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.65 (22.4%)
