Marseille vs Rennes
Marseille
#7 · Ligue 1
LDLWL
VS
Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Rennes
#5 · Ligue 1
LWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.96
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.96 (implied 51.0%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.3% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.84. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Marseille will face Rennes in the Ligue 1 at Orange Vélodrome.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Marseille has a 48.5% probability of winning this match. Rennes has a 29.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Rennes are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Marseille48.5%1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.5%2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.3%1.96
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
6.10
16.4%
1-1
6.80
14.7%
2-0
7.30
13.7%
2-1
8.00
12.5%
0-1
11.00
9.1%
0-0
11.00
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.80 | Draw 3.81 | Away 5.04 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.06 | Under 1.89 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.40 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.40 | Under 1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.96 | No 1.84 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.21 | 12 1.31 | X2 2.12 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals72.3%
Over 2.5 Goals53.5%
Over 3.5 Goals27.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 53 | LDLWL |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonMarseilleRennes
1.35Goals p.g.1.76
1.76Goals conceded p.g.1.53
18%Clean sheets29%
35%Win rate53%
3.12Avg goals in match3.29
Recent Results
MarseilleLAST MATCHES
02 MayNantes3–0MarseilleLigue 1
26 AprMarseille1–1NiceLigue 1
18 AprLorient2–0MarseilleLigue 1
10 AprMarseille3–1MetzLigue 1
05 AprMonaco2–1MarseilleLigue 1
22 MarMarseille1–2LilleLigue 1
6Win35%
4Draw24%
7Lost41%
LAST MATCHESRennes
03 MayLyon4–2RennesLigue 1
26 AprRennes2–1NantesLigue 1
19 AprStrasbourg0–3RennesLigue 1
11 AprRennes2–1AngersLigue 1
04 AprStade Brestois 293–4RennesLigue 1
22 MarRennes0–0MetzLigue 1
9Win53%
2Draw12%
6Lost35%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersMarseille
No reported absences
Rennes
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Marseille Win1.80 (48.5%)
Rennes Win5.04 (29.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.06 (53.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.89 (46.5%)
Both Teams Score1.96 (54.3%)
BTTS No1.84 (45.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.81 (22%)
