Lyon vs Lens
Lyon
#3 · Ligue 1
WWWWD
VS
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Lens
#2 · Ligue 1
DDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.68
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 (implied 59.5%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.5% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.65. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Lyon will face Lens in the Ligue 1 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lyon has a 42.4% probability of winning this match. Lens has a 35.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lyon are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Lens have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Lens are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Lens average 2.3 goals per game
- With a combined average of 4.1 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Lyon42.4%2.68
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.1%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.5%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.50
15.4%
0-1
9.00
11.1%
1-0
9.00
11.1%
1-2
9.20
10.9%
2-1
9.20
10.9%
2-0
12.50
8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.68 | Draw 3.71 | Away 2.68 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.86 | Under 2.10 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.23 | Under 3.90 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.90 | Under 1.39 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.68 | No 2.18 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.53 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals—
Over 1.5 Goals76%
Over 2.5 Goals58.1%
Over 3.5 Goals32.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLyonLens
1.79Goals p.g.2.33
1.21Goals conceded p.g.1.44
37%Clean sheets22%
53%Win rate56%
3Avg goals in match3.78
Recent Results
LyonLAST MATCHES
03 MayLyon4–2RennesLigue 1
25 AprLyon3–2AuxerreLigue 1
19 AprParis Saint Germain1–2LyonLigue 1
12 AprLyon2–0LorientLigue 1
05 AprAngers0–0LyonLigue 1
22 MarLyon1–2MonacoLigue 1
10Win53%
5Draw26%
4Lost21%
LAST MATCHESLens
02 MayNice1–1LensLigue 1
24 AprStade Brestois 293–3LensLigue 1
21 AprLens4–1ToulouseCoupe de France
17 AprLens3–2ToulouseLigue 1
11 AprLens2–1RouenFriendlies Clubs
04 AprLille3–0LensLigue 1
10Win56%
4Draw22%
4Lost22%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLyon
No reported absences
Lens
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.86 (58.1%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (60.5%)
Value Bets
Lyon Win2.68 (42.4%)
Lens Win2.68 (35.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.10 (41.9%)
BTTS No2.18 (39.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.71 (22.3%)
