Lorient vs Le Havre
Lorient
#9 · Ligue 1
DLWLD
VS
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Le Havre
#14 · Ligue 1
DDDDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Lorient will face Le Havre in the Ligue 1 at Stade du Moustoir.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lorient has a 50.2% probability of winning this match. Le Havre has a 27.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Le Havre are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Lorient50.2%2.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.3%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.7%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.00
14.3%
2-1
8.10
12.3%
1-0
8.50
11.8%
2-0
9.90
10.1%
1-2
11.00
9.1%
0-1
11.50
8.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.07 | Draw 3.92 | Away 3.62 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.75 | Under 2.25 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.19 | Under 4.30 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.70 | Under 1.45 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.65 | No 2.22 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.34 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals—
Over 1.5 Goals78.3%
Over 2.5 Goals52.3%
Over 3.5 Goals34.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 42 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 | DDDDD |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLorientLe Havre
1.53Goals p.g.1
1.18Goals conceded p.g.1.35
29%Clean sheets12%
41%Win rate18%
2.71Avg goals in match2.35
Recent Results
LorientLAST MATCHES
02 MayParis Saint Germain2–2LorientLigue 1
26 AprLorient2–3StrasbourgLigue 1
18 AprLorient2–0MarseilleLigue 1
12 AprLyon2–0LorientLigue 1
05 AprLorient1–1Paris FCLigue 1
21 MarToulouse1–0LorientLigue 1
7Win41%
6Draw35%
4Lost24%
LAST MATCHESLe Havre
03 MayLille1–1Le HavreLigue 1
26 AprLe Havre4–4MetzLigue 1
18 AprAngers1–1Le HavreLigue 1
12 AprNice1–1Le HavreLigue 1
05 AprLe Havre1–1AuxerreLigue 1
22 MarParis FC3–2Le HavreLigue 1
3Win18%
8Draw47%
6Lost35%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLorient
No reported absences
Le Havre
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Lorient Win2.07 (50.2%)
Le Havre Win3.62 (27.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.75 (52.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.25 (47.7%)
Both Teams Score1.65 (54.7%)
BTTS No2.22 (45.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.92 (22%)
