GO Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven

GO Ahead Eagles
#11 · Eredivisie
DDDWL
VS
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer

PSV Eindhoven
#1 · Eredivisie
DWWWL
★ OUR PICK
PSV Eindhoven to Win
Solid away form and superior underlying numbers over GO Ahead Eagles make PSV Eindhoven the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.68
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for PSV Eindhoven to Win. Our model calculates a 51.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , GO Ahead Eagles will face PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie at De Adelaarshorst.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that GO Ahead Eagles has a 29.4% probability of winning this match. PSV Eindhoven has a 51.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- PSV Eindhoven have won 3 of their last 5 games
- PSV Eindhoven sit 1st in the table, 10 places above their opponents
- PSV Eindhoven average 2.5 goals per game
- GO Ahead Eagles have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- With a combined average of 4.0 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — PSV Eindhoven51.6%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.569.6%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.34
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-2
8.36
12%
1-1
9.65
10.4%
2-2
10.78
9.4%
1-3
10.76
9.4%
0-2
12.15
8.3%
2-3
13.47
7.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 4.21 | Draw 4.43 | Away 1.64 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.33 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.07 | Under 7.47 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.80 | Under 1.98 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.34 | No 2.99 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.17 | 12 1.18 | X2 1.21 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.5%
Over 1.5 Goals87.4%
Over 2.5 Goals69.6%
Over 3.5 Goals52.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 92 | 43 | 49 | 78 | DWWWL | |
| 2 | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 61 | WWDDD | |
| 3 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 74 | 50 | 24 | 56 | DDDWD | |
| 4 | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 55 | DWWLD | |
| 5 | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 55 | DDWWW | |
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 | DDWWL | |
| 11 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 38 | DDDWL | |
| 16 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 31 | LWLDL | |
| 17 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 25 | LLDDL | |
| 18 | 32 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 34 | 80 | -46 | 19 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGO Ahead EaglesPSV Eindhoven
1.5Goals p.g.2.5
1.19Goals conceded p.g.1.62
44%Clean sheets12%
25%Win rate56%
2.69Avg goals in match4.12
Recent Results
GO Ahead EaglesLAST MATCHES
03 MaySparta Rotterdam2–2GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
23 AprGO Ahead Eagles0–0AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
11 AprGroningen0–0GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
05 AprGO Ahead Eagles5–0PEC ZwolleEredivisie
22 MarUtrecht2–0GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
15 MarGO Ahead Eagles6–0NAC BredaEredivisie
4Win25%
6Draw38%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESPSV Eindhoven
02 MayAjax2–2PSV EindhovenEredivisie
23 AprPSV Eindhoven6–1PEC ZwolleEredivisie
11 AprSparta Rotterdam0–2PSV EindhovenEredivisie
04 AprPSV Eindhoven4–3UtrechtEredivisie
22 MarTelstar3–1PSV EindhovenEredivisie
14 MarPSV Eindhoven2–3NEC NijmegenEredivisie
9Win56%
2Draw13%
5Lost31%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
GO Ahead Eagles
No reported absences
PSV Eindhoven
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.30 (69.6%)
Both Teams Score1.34 (68%)
Value Bets
GO Ahead Eagles Win4.21 (29.4%)
PSV Eindhoven Win1.64 (51.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals3.33 (30.4%)
BTTS No2.99 (32%)
Speculative
Draw4.43 (19%)







