Baltika vs Dynamo
Baltika
#5 · Premier League
LLDDD
VS
Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
Dynamo
#8 · Premier League
DWLDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.82
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Baltika will face Dynamo in the Premier League at Rostec Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Baltika has a 39.5% probability of winning this match. Dynamo has a 37.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.2%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Baltika39.5%2.54
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.9%1.80
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%1.80
Based on avg. implied odds from 2 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.97
16.7%
1-0
7.07
14.1%
0-1
7.50
13.3%
2-1
9.00
11.1%
1-2
9.50
10.5%
0-0
10.88
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.54 | Draw 3.65 | Away 2.79 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.12 | Under 1.80 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.32 | Under 3.10 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.74 | Under 1.23 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.80 | No 1.91 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.49 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.57 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals70.1%
Over 2.5 Goals45.1%
Over 3.5 Goals24.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 63 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 62 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 50 | DLDWD |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 48 | LWLWD |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 46 | LLDDD |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 45 | LDDDL |
| 8 | Dynamo | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 39 | DWLDW |
| 14 |  Dinamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 24 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 22 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 21 | WLWWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBaltikaDynamo
1.17Goals p.g.1.65
0.83Goals conceded p.g.1.2
33%Clean sheets25%
33%Win rate35%
2Avg goals in match2.85
Recent Results
BaltikaLAST MATCHES
02 MayBaltika0–1RubinPremier League
27 AprBaltika0–1AkronPremier League
23 AprAkhmat1–1BaltikaPremier League
19 AprFC Krasnodar2–2BaltikaPremier League
11 AprBaltika2–2Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
05 AprDinamo Makhachkala2–2BaltikaPremier League
6Win33%
7Draw39%
4Lost22%
LAST MATCHESDynamo
01 MayLokomotiv1–1DynamoPremier League
26 AprDynamo2–0FC SochiPremier League
22 AprDynamo0–1RubinPremier League
18 AprNizhny Novgorod1–1DynamoPremier League
13 AprAkron2–3DynamoPremier League
08 AprDynamo0–0FC KrasnodarCup
7Win35%
8Draw40%
5Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBaltika
No reported absences
Dynamo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Baltika Win2.54 (39.5%)
Dynamo Win2.79 (37.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.12 (45.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.80 (54.9%)
Both Teams Score1.80 (50.6%)
BTTS No1.91 (49.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.65 (23.2%)
