Villarreal vs Sevilla
Villarreal
#3 · La Liga
WWDWL
VS
Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Sevilla
#17 · La Liga
WLLWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Villarreal will face Sevilla in the La Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Villarreal has a 53.7% probability of winning this match. Sevilla has a 23.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Villarreal sit 3rd in the table, 14 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Villarreal53.7%2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.4%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.6%1.67
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.33
15.8%
1-0
7.72
13%
2-1
8.25
12.2%
2-0
9.73
10.3%
0-0
10.39
9.7%
0-1
10.74
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.00 | Draw 3.41 | Away 3.66 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.84 | Under 1.97 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.72 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.99 | Under 1.37 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.67 | No 2.11 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.27 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals74.8%
Over 2.5 Goals53.4%
Over 3.5 Goals31.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 34 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 88 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 77 | WDWDL |
| 3 | Villarreal | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 68 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 63 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 47 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 37 | WLLWL |
| 18 |  Alaves | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 36 | LWLDD |
| 19 |  Levante | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 28 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonVillarrealSevilla
1.65Goals p.g.1
1.47Goals conceded p.g.1.71
6%Clean sheets12%
47%Win rate24%
3.12Avg goals in match2.71
Recent Results
VillarrealLAST MATCHES
02 MayVillarreal5–1LevanteLa Liga
26 AprVillarreal2–1Celta VigoLa Liga
23 AprOviedo1–1VillarrealLa Liga
12 AprAthletic Club1–2VillarrealLa Liga
06 AprGirona1–0VillarrealLa Liga
20 MarVillarreal3–1Real SociedadLa Liga
8Win47%
3Draw18%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESSevilla
04 MaySevilla1–0Real SociedadLa Liga
26 AprOsasuna2–1SevillaLa Liga
23 AprLevante2–0SevillaLa Liga
11 AprSevilla2–1Atletico MadridLa Liga
05 AprOviedo1–0SevillaLa Liga
21 MarSevilla0–2ValenciaLa Liga
4Win24%
5Draw29%
8Lost47%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersVillarreal
No reported absences
Sevilla
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.67 (56.6%)
Value Bets
Villarreal Win2.00 (53.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.84 (53.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.97 (46.6%)
BTTS No2.11 (43.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.41 (23.1%)
Sevilla Win3.66 (23.2%)
