Elche vs Alaves
Elche
#14 · La Liga
LWWWL
VS
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Alaves
#18 · La Liga
LWLDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Elche will face Alaves in the La Liga at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Elche has a 48% probability of winning this match. Alaves has a 28.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Elche have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Elche48%2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.5%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.1%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.17
16.3%
1-0
8.12
12.4%
2-1
8.54
11.7%
0-1
9.88
10.1%
1-2
10.29
9.8%
0-0
10.54
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.25 | Draw 3.32 | Away 3.17 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.87 | Under 1.94 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.62 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.07 | Under 1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.66 | No 2.13 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.34 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.7%
Over 1.5 Goals74%
Over 2.5 Goals56.5%
Over 3.5 Goals30.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 34 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 88 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 77 | WDWDL |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 68 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 63 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 47 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Elche | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 | LWWWL |
| 18 | Alaves | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 36 | LWLDD |
| 19 |  Levante | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 28 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonElcheAlaves
1.33Goals p.g.1.65
1.83Goals conceded p.g.1.88
11%Clean sheets6%
28%Win rate29%
3.17Avg goals in match3.53
Recent Results
ElcheLAST MATCHES
03 MayCelta Vigo3–1ElcheLa Liga
26 AprOviedo1–2ElcheLa Liga
22 AprElche3–2Atletico MadridLa Liga
11 AprElche1–0ValenciaLa Liga
03 AprRayo Vallecano1–0ElcheLa Liga
27 MarAston Villa1–2ElcheFriendlies Clubs
5Win28%
4Draw22%
9Lost50%
LAST MATCHESAlaves
02 MayAlaves2–4Athletic ClubLa Liga
25 AprAlaves2–1MallorcaLa Liga
21 AprReal Madrid2–1AlavesLa Liga
11 AprReal Sociedad3–3AlavesLa Liga
05 AprAlaves2–2OsasunaLa Liga
22 MarCelta Vigo3–4AlavesLa Liga
5Win29%
5Draw29%
7Lost41%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersElche
No reported absences
Alaves
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.87 (56.5%)
Both Teams Score1.66 (60.1%)
Value Bets
Elche Win2.25 (48%)
Alaves Win3.17 (28.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.94 (43.5%)
BTTS No2.13 (39.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.32 (23.5%)
