Home›La Liga›Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Predictions

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo

La LigaRegular Season - 35
Atletico Madrid
#4 · La Liga
WDWLD
VS
Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid
Celta Vigo
#6 · La Liga
WLLLL
48.4%
Home Win
23.9%
Draw
27.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Atletico Madrid will face Celta Vigo in the La Liga at Metropolitano Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Atletico Madrid has a 48.4% probability of winning this match. Celta Vigo has a 27.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.9%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Atletico Madrid average 2.0 goals per game

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Atletico Madrid48.4%2.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.3%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.5%1.62
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.07
16.6%
1-0
8.39
12%
2-1
8.39
12%
0-0
10.46
9.8%
1-2
10.51
9.6%
0-1
10.53
9.5%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.22Draw 3.24Away 3.31
O/U 2.5Over 1.80Under 2.02
O/U 1.5Over 1.24Under 3.82
O/U 3.5Over 2.87Under 1.39
BTTSYes 1.62No 2.21
Double Chance1X 1.3212 1.31X2 1.66

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
57.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
32.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

La Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Barcelona
34291489315888
WWWWW
2
Real Madrid
34245570313977
WDWDL
3
Villarreal
34215864392568
WWDWL
4
Atletico Madrid
34196958372163
WWLLL
5
Real Betis
341314752411153
WDWDD
6
Celta Vigo
341211114844447
WLLLW
18
Alaves
3499164053-1336
LWLDD
19
Levante
3489173855-1733
LDWWL
20
Oviedo
34610182654-2828
LLDWW

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
2Goals p.g.1.33
1.68Goals conceded p.g.1.57
23%Clean sheets19%
45%Win rate33%
3.68Avg goals in match2.9

Recent Results

Atletico MadridLAST MATCHES
02 MayValencia0–2Atletico MadridLa Liga
29 AprAtletico Madrid1–1ArsenalUEFA Champions League
25 AprAtletico Madrid3–2Athletic ClubLa Liga
22 AprElche3–2Atletico MadridLa Liga
18 AprAtletico Madrid2–2Real SociedadCopa del Rey
14 AprAtletico Madrid1–2BarcelonaUEFA Champions League
10Win45%
3Draw14%
9Lost41%
LAST MATCHESCelta Vigo
03 MayCelta Vigo3–1ElcheLa Liga
26 AprVillarreal2–1Celta VigoLa Liga
22 AprBarcelona1–0Celta VigoLa Liga
16 AprCelta Vigo1–3SC FreiburgUEFA Europa League
12 AprCelta Vigo0–3OviedoLa Liga
09 AprSC Freiburg3–0Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
7Win33%
5Draw24%
9Lost43%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Atletico Madrid

No reported absences

Celta Vigo

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.80 (57.3%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (60.5%)
●Value Bets
Atletico Madrid Win2.22 (48.4%)
Celta Vigo Win3.31 (27.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.02 (42.7%)
BTTS No2.21 (39.5%)
●Speculative
Draw3.24 (23.9%)
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro