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V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 12
V-varen Nagasaki
#10 · J1 League
DLLLW
1 - 1
Peace Stadium, Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
#4 · J1 League
DLDWL
32.4%
Home Win
23.3%
Draw
44.3%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , V-varen Nagasaki will face Gamba Osaka in the J1 League at Peace Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that V-varen Nagasaki has a 32.4% probability of winning this match. Gamba Osaka has a 44.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.3%.

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Gamba Osaka44.3%2.02
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.8%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.16
16.3%
0-1
7.32
13.7%
1-2
7.92
12.7%
0-2
9.34
10.8%
0-0
9.58
10.5%
1-0
9.92
10.2%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 3.44Draw 3.41Away 2.02
O/U 2.5Over 1.84Under 1.92
O/U 1.5Over 1.25Under 3.61
O/U 3.5Over 3.07Under 1.33
BTTSYes 1.68No 2.06
Double Chance1X 1.7512 1.27X2 1.28

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
74.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
30.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

J1 League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kashima
1210022071332
WWWLW
1
Vissel Kobe
1180323121125
WWWWL
2
Nagoya Grampus
127052217521
WWLWL
2
FC Tokyo
1290324121226
WWLWL
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
127051915419
WWWLL
3
Machida Zelvia
118031716122
WWLWW
4
Gamba Osaka
127052018219
LWLWL
9
Kashiwa Reysol
124081517-211
LLLWW
10
V-varen Nagasaki
114071017-712
LLLWL
10
JEF United Chiba
1220101121-109
LLLWL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
V-varen NagasakiGamba Osaka
1.18Goals p.g.1.5
1.24Goals conceded p.g.1.15
29%Clean sheets20%
41%Win rate35%
2.41Avg goals in match2.65

Recent Results

V-varen NagasakiLAST MATCHES
25 AprV-varen Nagasaki1–1Gamba OsakaJ1 League
18 AprSanfrecce Hiroshima2–0V-varen NagasakiJ1 League
11 AprAvispa Fukuoka1–0V-varen NagasakiJ1 League
05 AprV-varen Nagasaki0–3Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
21 MarFagiano Okayama0–1V-varen NagasakiJ1 League
18 MarV-varen Nagasaki1–2Kyoto SangaJ1 League
7Win41%
2Draw12%
8Lost47%
LAST MATCHESGamba Osaka
25 AprV-varen Nagasaki1–1Gamba OsakaJ1 League
22 AprGamba Osaka1–2Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
19 AprGamba Osaka2–2Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League
15 AprBangkok United0–3Gamba OsakaAFC Champions League Two
11 AprGamba Osaka0–1Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
08 AprGamba Osaka0–1Bangkok UnitedAFC Champions League Two
7Win35%
9Draw45%
4Lost20%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

V-varen Nagasaki

No reported absences

Gamba Osaka

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets
V-varen Nagasaki Win3.44 (32.4%)
Gamba Osaka Win2.02 (44.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.84 (49.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.92 (50.8%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (53.6%)
BTTS No2.06 (46.4%)
●Speculative
Draw3.41 (23.3%)
V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka Predictions, Stats, H2H - 25 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro