Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
#6 · Super League
WWLLW
VS
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan
Qingdao Youth Island
#9 · Super League
DDLWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.63
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Shandong Luneng will face Qingdao Youth Island in the Super League at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Shandong Luneng has a 62.1% probability of winning this match. Qingdao Youth Island has a 19.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Shandong Luneng have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Shandong Luneng average 2.4 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Shandong Luneng62.1%1.47
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.5%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.5%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.39
13.6%
2-0
8.01
12.6%
1-1
8.25
12.2%
1-0
8.58
11.8%
3-1
9.71
10.4%
3-0
10.36
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.47 | Draw 4.46 | Away 5.69 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.49 | Under 2.44 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.14 | Under 4.84 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.26 | Under 1.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.60 | No 2.18 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.12 | 12 1.17 | X2 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals81%
Over 2.5 Goals61.5%
Over 3.5 Goals41.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 9 | Qingdao Youth Island | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 | DDDLW |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonShandong LunengQingdao Youth Island
2.4Goals p.g.1
1.4Goals conceded p.g.1.47
20%Clean sheets27%
60%Win rate33%
3.8Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
Shandong LunengLAST MATCHES
21 AprTianjin Teda1–2Shandong LunengSuper League
11 AprHenan Jianye0–1Shandong LunengSuper League
04 AprShandong Luneng1–2Dalian ZhixingSuper League
21 MarYunnan Yukun4–0Shandong LunengSuper League
14 MarShandong Luneng2–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
07 MarShandong Luneng3–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
9Win60%
4Draw27%
2Lost13%
LAST MATCHESQingdao Youth Island
22 AprQingdao Youth Island0–0Henan JianyeSuper League
11 AprQingdao Youth Island1–1Shenyang UrbanSuper League
03 AprChengdu Better City5–1Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
21 MarQingdao Youth Island1–0Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
15 MarSHANGHAI SIPG4–1Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
08 MarHangzhou Greentown2–0Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
5Win33%
4Draw27%
6Lost40%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersShandong Luneng
No reported absences
Qingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Shandong Luneng Win1.47 (62.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.49 (61.5%)
Both Teams Score1.60 (58.5%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.44 (38.5%)
BTTS No2.18 (41.5%)
Speculative
Draw4.46 (18.8%)
Qingdao Youth Island Win5.69 (19.1%)
