JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos

JEF United Chiba
#10 · J1 League
LLDWL
VS
Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba (19,470)

Yokohama F. Marinos
#8 · J1 League
WLLLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , JEF United Chiba will face Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League at Fukuda Denshi Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that JEF United Chiba has a 36.7% probability of winning this match. Yokohama F. Marinos has a 39.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.8%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Yokohama F. Marinos39.6%2.35
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.551.8%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.6%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.88
17.1%
0-1
7.73
13%
1-2
8.52
11.9%
1-0
8.56
11.8%
0-0
9.46
10.7%
2-1
9.49
10.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.87 | Draw 3.26 | Away 2.35 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.90 | Under 1.85 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.48 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.22 | Under 1.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.68 | No 2.06 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.54 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals73.2%
Over 2.5 Goals51.8%
Over 3.5 Goals28.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | WWWLW | |
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 | WWWWL | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 | WWLWL | |
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 | WWLWL | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 | WWWLL | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 | WWLWW | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 | WLLLW | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 | LLLWW | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 | LLLWL | |
| 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonJEF United ChibaYokohama F. Marinos
1.35Goals p.g.1.59
1.35Goals conceded p.g.1.53
24%Clean sheets24%
35%Win rate41%
2.71Avg goals in match3.12
Recent Results
JEF United ChibaLAST MATCHES
25 AprKawasaki Frontale2–1JEF United ChibaJ1 League
18 AprTokyo Verdy1–0JEF United ChibaJ1 League
11 AprJEF United Chiba1–1Mito HollyhockJ1 League
04 AprJEF United Chiba3–2Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
22 MarKashima2–1JEF United ChibaJ1 League
18 MarJEF United Chiba1–2FC TokyoJ1 League
6Win35%
3Draw18%
8Lost47%
LAST MATCHESYokohama F. Marinos
25 AprUrawa2–3Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
18 AprYokohama F. Marinos1–2Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
11 AprYokohama F. Marinos1–3FC TokyoJ1 League
05 AprKashiwa Reysol3–0Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
22 MarKawasaki Frontale0–5Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
18 MarMito Hollyhock1–0Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
7Win41%
0Draw0%
10Lost59%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
JEF United Chiba
No reported absences
Yokohama F. Marinos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.68 (56.6%)
Value Bets
JEF United Chiba Win2.87 (36.7%)
Yokohama F. Marinos Win2.35 (39.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.90 (51.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.85 (48.2%)
BTTS No2.06 (43.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.26 (23.8%)









