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Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 13
Avispa Fukuoka
#9 · J1 League
LWDWW
VS
Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka (22,331)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 · J1 League
WWDLL
29.6%
Home Win
22.8%
Draw
47.6%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
2.00
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.95 (implied 51.3%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.7% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.90. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Avispa Fukuoka will face Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League at Best Denki Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Avispa Fukuoka has a 29.6% probability of winning this match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a 47.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Avispa Fukuoka have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Sanfrecce Hiroshima47.6%1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.1%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%1.95
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
0-1
5.59
17.9%
1-1
6.24
16.1%
0-2
7.18
14%
1-2
7.76
13%
0-0
8.09
12.4%
1-0
10.19
9.9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 4.61Draw 3.45Away 1.75
O/U 2.5Over 2.11Under 1.69
O/U 1.5Over 1.35Under 2.98
O/U 3.5Over 3.74Under 1.24
BTTSYes 1.95No 1.76
Double Chance1X 2.0112 1.26X2 1.17

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
68.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
24.9%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

J1 League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kashima
1210022071332
WWWLW
1
Vissel Kobe
1180323121125
WWWWL
2
Nagoya Grampus
127052217521
WWLWL
2
FC Tokyo
1290324121226
WWLWL
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
127051915419
WWWLL
3
Machida Zelvia
118031716122
WWLWW
9
Avispa Fukuoka
135081423-915
LWLWW
9
Kashiwa Reysol
124081517-211
LLLWW
10
V-varen Nagasaki
114071017-712
LLLWL
10
JEF United Chiba
1220101121-109
LLLWL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Avispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
1.44Goals p.g.1.5
1.72Goals conceded p.g.1.39
11%Clean sheets22%
28%Win rate44%
3.17Avg goals in match2.89

Recent Results

Avispa FukuokaLAST MATCHES
25 AprFagiano Okayama2–0Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
22 AprGamba Osaka1–2Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
19 AprNagoya Grampus2–2Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
11 AprAvispa Fukuoka1–0V-varen NagasakiJ1 League
05 AprSanfrecce Hiroshima0–1Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
21 MarAvispa Fukuoka2–2Gamba OsakaJ1 League
5Win28%
6Draw33%
6Lost33%
LAST MATCHESSanfrecce Hiroshima
25 AprSanfrecce Hiroshima2–1Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
18 AprSanfrecce Hiroshima2–0V-varen NagasakiJ1 League
11 AprSanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
05 AprSanfrecce Hiroshima0–1Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
27 MarVissel Kobe2–1Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
22 MarShimizu S-pulse3–1Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
8Win44%
3Draw17%
7Lost39%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Avispa Fukuoka

No reported absences

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets
Avispa Fukuoka Win4.61 (29.6%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win1.75 (47.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.11 (49.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.69 (50.1%)
Both Teams Score1.95 (52.7%)
BTTS No1.76 (47.3%)
●Speculative
Draw3.45 (22.8%)
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions, Stats, H2H - 29 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro