Paide vs Tammeka
Paide
#3 · Meistriliiga
WWWDW
VS
Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Tammeka
#7 · Meistriliiga
LDLLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 61.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Paide will face Tammeka in the Meistriliiga at Paide linnastaadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Paide has a 65.8% probability of winning this match. Tammeka has a 16.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Paide are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Paide average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Paide65.8%1.39
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.9%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes61.1%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 2 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
6.50
15.4%
2-0
7.00
14.3%
1-1
7.50
13.3%
3-1
7.50
13.3%
1-0
8.00
12.5%
3-0
8.00
12.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.39 | Draw 4.70 | Away 6.31 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.40 | Under 2.70 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.08 | Under 5.40 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.02 | Under 1.68 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.53 | No 2.25 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.09 | 12 1.15 | X2 2.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals—
Over 1.5 Goals83.3%
Over 2.5 Goals64.9%
Over 3.5 Goals45.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kalju Nomme | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 19 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Paide | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Laagri | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Flora Tallinn | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 6 |  Kuressaare | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 7 | Tammeka | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 9 |  Vaprus | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonPaideTammeka
2.07Goals p.g.1.53
1.2Goals conceded p.g.1.76
33%Clean sheets24%
60%Win rate35%
3.27Avg goals in match3.29
Recent Results
PaideLAST MATCHES
19 AprPaide1–0Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 AprPaide3–1Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga
03 AprKuressaare0–1PaideMeistriliiga
22 MarFC Levadia Tallinn2–2PaideMeistriliiga
15 MarPaide1–0Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
11 MarPaide6–0Tallinna KalevCup
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESTammeka
22 AprTammeka1–2FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
18 AprVaprus0–0TammekaMeistriliiga
12 AprTammeka1–4PaideMeistriliiga
07 AprTrans Narva3–0TammekaMeistriliiga
03 AprTammeka3–1Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
21 MarNõmme United2–3TammekaMeistriliiga
6Win35%
2Draw12%
9Lost53%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPaide
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Paide Win1.39 (65.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.40 (64.9%)
Both Teams Score1.53 (61.1%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.70 (35.1%)
BTTS No2.25 (38.9%)
Speculative
Draw4.70 (18.1%)
Tammeka Win6.31 (16.2%)