Udinese vs Cremonese
Udinese
#11 · Serie A
WDLWD
VS
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Cremonese
#18 · Serie A
LLDLL
★ OUR PICK
Udinese to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Cremonese make Udinese the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.04
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.98 (implied 50.6%) for Udinese to Win. Our model calculates a 58.6% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.71. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Udinese will face Cremonese in the Serie A at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Udinese has a 58.6% probability of winning this match. Cremonese has a 18.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 2.0 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Udinese58.6%1.98
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.3%1.79
Both Teams to Score
No52%1.91
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.11
16.4%
1-0
6.46
15.5%
2-1
8.03
12.5%
0-0
8.85
11.4%
2-0
8.93
11.2%
0-1
9.89
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.98 | Draw 3.41 | Away 3.84 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.03 | Under 1.79 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.33 | Under 3.14 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.53 | Under 1.27 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.83 | No 1.91 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.26 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.81 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.2%
Over 1.5 Goals70.3%
Over 2.5 Goals45.7%
Over 3.5 Goals26.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82 | 31 | 51 | 82 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 70 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 67 | LDWLL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 5 |  AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 64 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 62 | DWLLD |
| 11 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 47 | WDLWD |
| 18 | Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 20 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonUdineseCremonese
1.47Goals p.g.0.53
1Goals conceded p.g.1.88
35%Clean sheets24%
41%Win rate6%
2.47Avg goals in match2.41
Recent Results
UdineseLAST MATCHES
02 MayUdinese2–0TorinoSerie A
27 AprLazio3–3UdineseSerie A
18 AprUdinese0–1ParmaSerie A
11 AprAC Milan0–3UdineseSerie A
06 AprUdinese0–0ComoSerie A
20 MarGenoa0–2UdineseSerie A
7Win41%
4Draw24%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESCremonese
04 MayCremonese1–2LazioSerie A
24 AprNapoli4–0CremoneseSerie A
19 AprCremonese0–0TorinoSerie A
11 AprCagliari1–0CremoneseSerie A
05 AprCremonese1–2BolognaSerie A
21 MarParma0–2CremoneseSerie A
1Win6%
4Draw24%
12Lost71%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersUdinese
No reported absences
Cremonese
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Udinese Win1.98 (58.6%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.03 (45.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.79 (54.3%)
Both Teams Score1.83 (48%)
BTTS No1.91 (52%)
Speculative
Draw3.41 (23.2%)
Cremonese Win3.84 (18.2%)
