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Lecce vs Juventus

Serie ARegular Season - 36
Lecce
#17 · Serie A
WDDLL
VS
Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Juventus
#4 · Serie A
DDWWW
23.6%
Home Win
20.6%
Draw
55.8%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Juventus to Win
Solid away form and superior underlying numbers over Lecce make Juventus the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 for Juventus to Win. Our model calculates a 55.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Lecce will face Juventus in the Serie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lecce has a 23.6% probability of winning this match. Juventus has a 55.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Juventus have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Juventus are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Juventus sit 4th in the table, 13 places above their opponents
  • Juventus have kept clean sheets in 41% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
2 — Juventus55.8%1.51
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.550%1.79
Both Teams to Score
No50.4%1.86
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
0-1
6.56
15.3%
0-2
6.87
14.6%
1-1
7.58
13.2%
1-2
7.71
13.1%
0-3
10.10
9.9%
0-0
10.85
9.4%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 6.27Draw 4.12Away 1.51
O/U 2.5Over 1.79Under 2.02
O/U 1.5Over 1.24Under 3.83
O/U 3.5Over 2.91Under 1.39
BTTSYes 1.89No 1.86
Double Chance1X 2.5012 1.21X2 1.12

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
32.4%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Inter
35264582315182
WDWWW
2
Napoli
35217752331970
DWLDW
3
AC Milan
351910648291967
LDWLL
4
Juventus
351811658302865
DDWWW
5
AS Roma
352041152292364
WWDWL
6
Como
351711759283162
DWLLD
17
Lecce
3588192447-2332
WDDLL
18
Cremonese
35610192753-2628
LLDLL
19
Hellas Verona
35311212457-3320
DDLLL
20
Pisa
35212212563-3818
LLLLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
LecceJuventus
0.71Goals p.g.1.65
1.29Goals conceded p.g.1.35
18%Clean sheets41%
24%Win rate41%
2Avg goals in match3

Recent Results

LecceLAST MATCHES
01 MayPisa1–2LecceSerie A
25 AprHellas Verona0–0LecceSerie A
20 AprLecce1–1FiorentinaSerie A
12 AprBologna2–0LecceSerie A
06 AprLecce0–3AtalantaSerie A
22 MarAS Roma1–0LecceSerie A
4Win24%
3Draw18%
10Lost59%
LAST MATCHESJuventus
03 MayJuventus1–1Hellas VeronaSerie A
26 AprAC Milan0–0JuventusSerie A
19 AprJuventus2–0BolognaSerie A
11 AprAtalanta0–1JuventusSerie A
06 AprJuventus2–0GenoaSerie A
21 MarJuventus1–1SassuoloSerie A
7Win41%
6Draw35%
4Lost24%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

1 player

Lecce1

✕F. Marchwiński
Missing FixtureJumpers knee

Juventus

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Juventus Win1.51 (55.8%)
●Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.79 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.02 (50%)
Both Teams Score1.89 (49.6%)
BTTS No1.86 (50.4%)
●Speculative
Lecce Win6.27 (23.6%)
Draw4.12 (20.6%)
Lecce vs Juventus Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro