Cagliari vs Udinese
Cagliari
#15 · Serie A
DWLWL
VS
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Udinese
#11 · Serie A
WDLWD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.71
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Cagliari will face Udinese in the Serie A at Unipol Domus.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Cagliari has a 39% probability of winning this match. Udinese has a 35.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.1%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Cagliari39%2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556.8%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.1%1.84
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.79
17.3%
1-0
6.90
14.5%
0-1
7.55
13.3%
0-0
7.91
12.7%
2-1
9.01
11.2%
1-2
10.08
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.50 | Draw 3.13 | Away 2.92 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.23 | Under 1.65 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.39 | Under 2.91 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.11 | Under 1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.89 | No 1.84 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.39 | 12 1.34 | X2 1.52 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.2%
Over 1.5 Goals67.7%
Over 2.5 Goals43.2%
Over 3.5 Goals22.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82 | 31 | 51 | 82 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 70 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 67 | LDWLL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 5 |  AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 64 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 62 | DWLLD |
| 11 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 47 | WDLWD |
| 15 | Cagliari | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 | DWLWL |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 20 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCagliariUdinese
1Goals p.g.1.47
1.41Goals conceded p.g.1
29%Clean sheets35%
29%Win rate41%
2.41Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
CagliariLAST MATCHES
03 MayBologna0–0CagliariSerie A
27 AprCagliari3–2AtalantaSerie A
17 AprInter3–0CagliariSerie A
11 AprCagliari1–0CremoneseSerie A
04 AprSassuolo2–1CagliariSerie A
20 MarCagliari0–1NapoliSerie A
5Win29%
4Draw24%
8Lost47%
LAST MATCHESUdinese
02 MayUdinese2–0TorinoSerie A
27 AprLazio3–3UdineseSerie A
18 AprUdinese0–1ParmaSerie A
11 AprAC Milan0–3UdineseSerie A
06 AprUdinese0–0ComoSerie A
20 MarGenoa0–2UdineseSerie A
7Win41%
4Draw24%
6Lost35%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCagliari
No reported absences
Udinese
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.65 (56.8%)
Value Bets
Cagliari Win2.50 (39%)
Draw3.13 (25.1%)
Udinese Win2.92 (35.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.23 (43.2%)
Both Teams Score1.89 (48.9%)
BTTS No1.84 (51.1%)
