ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
#5 · Premiership
LLLLW
VS
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Kilmarnock
#4 · Premiership
WLDLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , ST Mirren will face Kilmarnock in the Premiership at The SMISA Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that ST Mirren has a 43.6% probability of winning this match. Kilmarnock has a 33.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — ST Mirren43.6%1.94
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.4%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.2%1.67
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.32
15.9%
1-0
7.37
13.6%
2-1
7.86
12.8%
2-0
9.23
10.9%
0-0
10.68
9.4%
0-1
10.85
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.94 | Draw 3.47 | Away 3.66 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.81 | Under 1.98 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.77 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.97 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.67 | No 2.08 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.25 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.82 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91%
Over 1.5 Goals75.2%
Over 2.5 Goals55.4%
Over 3.5 Goals31.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dundee Utd | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 43 | LWWLW |
| 1 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 62 | 30 | 32 | 76 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Celtic | 35 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 73 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Aberdeen | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 37 | DWWLL |
| 3 |  Rangers | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  Dundee | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 36 | WLDLL |
| 4 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 5 | ST Mirren | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 30 | LLLWW |
| 6 |  Livingston | 35 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 20 | DWLDL |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 49 | WLLWL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonST MirrenKilmarnock
1Goals p.g.1.44
1.71Goals conceded p.g.2.06
18%Clean sheets25%
29%Win rate31%
2.71Avg goals in match3.5
Recent Results
ST MirrenLAST MATCHES
02 MayDundee1–0ST MirrenPremiership
25 AprST Mirren0–2LivingstonPremiership
19 AprCeltic6–2ST MirrenFA Cup
11 AprCeltic1–0ST MirrenPremiership
04 AprST Mirren2–0AberdeenPremiership
21 MarFalkirk1–2ST MirrenPremiership
5Win29%
3Draw18%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESKilmarnock
02 MayKilmarnock3–0Dundee UtdPremiership
25 AprAberdeen1–0KilmarnockPremiership
11 AprKilmarnock2–2DundeePremiership
04 AprHibernian3–0KilmarnockPremiership
21 MarKilmarnock2–0LivingstonPremiership
14 MarKilmarnock1–0Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
5Win31%
3Draw19%
8Lost50%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersST Mirren
No reported absences
Kilmarnock
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (55.4%)
Both Teams Score1.67 (58.2%)
Value Bets
ST Mirren Win1.94 (43.6%)
Kilmarnock Win3.66 (33.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.98 (44.6%)
BTTS No2.08 (41.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.47 (22.7%)
