Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
#13 · Eliteserien
LLLDL
VS
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Fredrikstad
#12 · Eliteserien
LLLDW
★ OUR PICK
Sarpsborg 08 FF to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Fredrikstad make Sarpsborg 08 FF the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.02
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.98 for Sarpsborg 08 FF to Win. Our model calculates a 46.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sarpsborg 08 FF will face Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sarpsborg 08 FF has a 46% probability of winning this match. Fredrikstad has a 32.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.5%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Sarpsborg 08 FF46%1.98
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.1%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes62.9%1.42
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.55
13.3%
2-1
8.26
12.2%
2-2
10.23
9.8%
1-2
10.66
9.5%
1-0
10.94
9.3%
2-0
12.09
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.98 | Draw 3.74 | Away 3.28 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.45 | Under 2.58 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 5.33 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.12 | Under 1.68 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.42 | No 2.65 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.30 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.2%
Over 1.5 Goals82.5%
Over 2.5 Goals61.1%
Over 3.5 Goals44.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 | DLWWD |
| 2 |  Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Lillestrom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 4 |  Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Molde | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Brann | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 10 | WWDLL |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | LLLDW |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | LLLDL |
| 14 |  Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 15 |  Start | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 16 |  Aalesund | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 3 | LDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
1.37Goals p.g.1.61
1.11Goals conceded p.g.1.83
26%Clean sheets11%
42%Win rate44%
2.47Avg goals in match3.44
Recent Results
Sarpsborg 08 FFLAST MATCHES
03 MayLillestrom4–0Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
26 AprKFUM Oslo1–0Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
19 AprSarpsborg 08 FF0–1TromsoEliteserien
15 AprSarpsborg 08 FF1–1Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
12 AprRosenborg2–1Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
06 AprSarpsborg 08 FF1–1StartEliteserien
8Win42%
3Draw16%
6Lost32%
LAST MATCHESFredrikstad
02 MayBrann3–1FredrikstadEliteserien
25 AprFredrikstad1–2VikingEliteserien
19 AprKristiansund BK2–0FredrikstadEliteserien
12 AprFredrikstad1–1ValerengaEliteserien
07 AprAalesund2–3FredrikstadEliteserien
22 MarFredrikstad3–1KFUM OsloEliteserien
8Win44%
3Draw17%
7Lost39%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSarpsborg 08 FF
No reported absences
Fredrikstad
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.45 (61.1%)
Both Teams Score1.42 (62.9%)
Value Bets
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win1.98 (46%)
Fredrikstad Win3.28 (32.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.58 (38.9%)
BTTS No2.65 (37.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.74 (21.5%)
