Sandefjord vs Kristiansund BK
Sandefjord
#8 · Eliteserien
WLDWW
VS
Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
#9 · Eliteserien
DDWLL
★ OUR PICK
Sandefjord to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Kristiansund BK make Sandefjord the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Sandefjord to Win. Our model calculates a 55.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sandefjord will face Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien at Jotun Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sandefjord has a 55.8% probability of winning this match. Kristiansund BK has a 23.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Sandefjord have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Sandefjord have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Sandefjord55.8%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.8%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%1.59
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.49
13.4%
2-1
7.69
13.1%
1-0
8.47
11.9%
2-0
8.76
11.5%
3-1
11.22
9.1%
2-2
12.00
8.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.65 | Draw 4.04 | Away 4.63 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.57 | Under 2.31 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.17 | Under 4.61 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.42 | Under 1.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.59 | No 2.22 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.18 | 12 1.21 | X2 2.16 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.5%
Over 1.5 Goals79.8%
Over 2.5 Goals53.8%
Over 3.5 Goals38.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 | DLWWD |
| 2 |  Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Lillestrom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 4 |  Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Molde | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Brann | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 10 | WWDLL |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Kristiansund BK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 14 |  Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 15 |  Start | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 16 |  Aalesund | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 3 | LDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSandefjordKristiansund BK
1.56Goals p.g.1.06
1.11Goals conceded p.g.1.24
44%Clean sheets24%
61%Win rate29%
2.67Avg goals in match2.29
Recent Results
SandefjordLAST MATCHES
03 MaySandefjord1–0AalesundEliteserien
26 AprTromso3–1SandefjordEliteserien
18 AprSandefjord0–0RosenborgEliteserien
12 AprBrann0–1SandefjordEliteserien
07 AprKFUM Oslo1–2SandefjordEliteserien
27 MarStromsgodset2–2SandefjordFriendlies Clubs
11Win61%
3Draw17%
4Lost22%
LAST MATCHESKristiansund BK
03 MayKristiansund BK1–1Ham-KamEliteserien
26 AprAalesund1–1Kristiansund BKEliteserien
19 AprKristiansund BK2–0FredrikstadEliteserien
11 AprTromso2–0Kristiansund BKEliteserien
06 AprKristiansund BK0–3Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
28 MarKristiansund BK4–0BrattvågFriendlies Clubs
5Win29%
6Draw35%
6Lost35%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSandefjord
No reported absences
Kristiansund BK
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Sandefjord Win1.65 (55.8%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.57 (53.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.31 (46.2%)
Both Teams Score1.59 (54.9%)
BTTS No2.22 (45.1%)
Speculative
Draw4.04 (20.9%)
Kristiansund BK Win4.63 (23.3%)
