Rosenborg vs Lillestrom
Rosenborg
#14 · Eliteserien
LDDWL
VS
Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Lillestrom
#3 · Eliteserien
WLWDW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.64
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 57.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Rosenborg will face Lillestrom in the Eliteserien at Lerkendal Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Rosenborg has a 34.3% probability of winning this match. Lillestrom has a 43.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lillestrom have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Lillestrom sit 3rd in the table, 11 places above their opponents
- Lillestrom average 2.1 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Lillestrom43.2%2.31
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.5%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.4%1.50
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.73
15%
1-2
8.54
11.8%
2-1
9.58
10.6%
0-1
9.75
10.4%
2-2
10.34
9.8%
1-0
11.22
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.82 | Draw 3.51 | Away 2.31 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.61 | Under 2.26 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.17 | Under 4.47 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.46 | Under 1.49 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.50 | No 2.43 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.57 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.41 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.1%
Over 1.5 Goals79.1%
Over 2.5 Goals57.5%
Over 3.5 Goals37.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 | DLWWD |
| 2 |  Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 4 |  Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Molde | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Brann | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 10 | WWDLL |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 15 |  Start | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 16 |  Aalesund | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 3 | LDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonRosenborgLillestrom
1.11Goals p.g.2.11
1.22Goals conceded p.g.1.42
22%Clean sheets37%
33%Win rate47%
2.33Avg goals in match3.53
Recent Results
RosenborgLAST MATCHES
01 MayViking3–0RosenborgEliteserien
25 AprRosenborg1–1BrannEliteserien
18 AprSandefjord0–0RosenborgEliteserien
12 AprRosenborg2–1Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
06 AprTromso2–0RosenborgEliteserien
26 MarRosenborg4–1Stjørdals-BlinkFriendlies Clubs
6Win33%
3Draw17%
9Lost50%
LAST MATCHESLillestrom
03 MayLillestrom4–0Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
26 AprLillestrom0–2Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
19 AprValerenga0–2LillestromEliteserien
15 AprTromso0–0LillestromEliteserien
11 AprLillestrom3–1StartEliteserien
06 AprMolde0–1LillestromEliteserien
9Win47%
4Draw21%
6Lost32%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRosenborg
No reported absences
Lillestrom
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.61 (57.5%)
Both Teams Score1.50 (60.4%)
Value Bets
Rosenborg Win2.82 (34.3%)
Lillestrom Win2.31 (43.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.26 (42.5%)
BTTS No2.43 (39.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.51 (22.6%)
