Rayo Vallecano vs Girona
Rayo Vallecano
#11 · La Liga
WWDWL
VS
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Girona
#16 · La Liga
LLLDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Rayo Vallecano will face Girona in the La Liga at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Rayo Vallecano has a 49.1% probability of winning this match. Girona has a 27.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Rayo Vallecano have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Rayo Vallecano49.1%2.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551%2.01
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%1.62
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.25
16%
2-1
8.52
11.8%
1-0
8.65
11.6%
1-2
9.72
10.3%
0-1
9.82
10.2%
0-0
11.28
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.36 | Draw 3.40 | Away 2.88 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.81 | Under 2.01 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.78 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.95 | Under 1.38 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.62 | No 2.20 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.39 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.58 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.2%
Over 1.5 Goals75.2%
Over 2.5 Goals49%
Over 3.5 Goals31.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 34 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 88 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 77 | WDWDL |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 68 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 63 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 47 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 42 | WDWLW |
| 16 | Girona | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 38 | LLLDW |
| 18 |  Alaves | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 36 | LWLDD |
| 19 |  Levante | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 28 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonRayo VallecanoGirona
1.32Goals p.g.1.24
1.23Goals conceded p.g.1.06
32%Clean sheets24%
41%Win rate35%
2.55Avg goals in match2.29
Recent Results
Rayo VallecanoLAST MATCHES
03 MayGetafe0–2Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
30 AprRayo Vallecano1–0StrasbourgUEFA Europa Conference League
26 AprRayo Vallecano3–3Real SociedadLa Liga
23 AprRayo Vallecano1–0EspanyolLa Liga
16 AprAEK Athens FC3–1Rayo VallecanoUEFA Europa Conference League
12 AprMallorca3–0Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
9Win41%
5Draw23%
8Lost36%
LAST MATCHESGirona
01 MayGirona0–1MallorcaLa Liga
25 AprValencia2–1GironaLa Liga
21 AprGirona2–3Real BetisLa Liga
10 AprReal Madrid1–1GironaLa Liga
06 AprGirona1–0VillarrealLa Liga
21 MarOsasuna1–0GironaLa Liga
6Win35%
5Draw29%
6Lost35%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRayo Vallecano
No reported absences
Girona
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Rayo Vallecano Win2.36 (49.1%)
Girona Win2.88 (27.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (49%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.01 (51%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (54.2%)
BTTS No2.20 (45.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.40 (23.7%)
