Pisa vs Napoli
Pisa
#20 · Serie A
LLLLL
VS
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Napoli
#2 · Serie A
DWLDW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.88
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.81 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 53.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Pisa will face Napoli in the Serie A at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Pisa has a 15.2% probability of winning this match. Napoli has a 66.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Napoli sit 2nd in the table, 18 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
2 — Napoli66.2%1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553%1.81
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51%1.75
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
6.17
16.3%
0-2
6.26
16%
1-2
7.91
12.7%
1-1
8.10
12.4%
0-3
9.14
11%
1-3
11.39
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 6.91 | Draw 4.60 | Away 1.42 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.81 | Under 2.00 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.68 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.96 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.00 | No 1.75 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.80 | 12 1.18 | X2 1.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.5%
Over 1.5 Goals74.6%
Over 2.5 Goals53%
Over 3.5 Goals31.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82 | 31 | 51 | 82 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 70 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 67 | LDWLL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 5 |  AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 64 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 62 | DWLLD |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 20 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonPisaNapoli
0.71Goals p.g.1.47
2.24Goals conceded p.g.1.24
6%Clean sheets24%
6%Win rate47%
2.94Avg goals in match2.71
Recent Results
PisaLAST MATCHES
01 MayPisa1–2LecceSerie A
25 AprParma1–0PisaSerie A
19 AprPisa1–2GenoaSerie A
10 AprAS Roma3–0PisaSerie A
05 AprPisa0–1TorinoSerie A
22 MarComo5–0PisaSerie A
1Win6%
3Draw18%
13Lost76%
LAST MATCHESNapoli
02 MayComo0–0NapoliSerie A
24 AprNapoli4–0CremoneseSerie A
18 AprNapoli0–2LazioSerie A
12 AprParma1–1NapoliSerie A
06 AprNapoli1–0AC MilanSerie A
20 MarCagliari0–1NapoliSerie A
8Win47%
5Draw29%
4Lost24%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPisa
No reported absences
Napoli
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Napoli Win1.42 (66.2%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (53%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.00 (47%)
Both Teams Score2.00 (49%)
BTTS No1.75 (51%)
Speculative
Pisa Win6.91 (15.2%)
Draw4.60 (18.6%)
