Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
#10 · La Liga
LWLDD
VS
Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Atletico Madrid
#4 · La Liga
WDWLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Osasuna will face Atletico Madrid in the La Liga at Estadio El Sadar.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Osasuna has a 38.4% probability of winning this match. Atletico Madrid has a 38.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Atletico Madrid average 2.0 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Atletico Madrid38.8%2.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.5%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.42
15.6%
2-1
9.10
11%
1-0
9.11
11%
0-1
9.18
10.9%
1-2
9.22
10.9%
0-0
11.51
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.56 | Draw 3.45 | Away 2.57 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.82 | Under 2.01 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.78 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.95 | Under 1.37 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.18 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.49 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.48 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.4%
Over 1.5 Goals75.2%
Over 2.5 Goals56.5%
Over 3.5 Goals31.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 34 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 88 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 77 | WDWDL |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 68 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 63 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 47 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 42 | LWLDD |
| 18 |  Alaves | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 36 | LWLDD |
| 19 |  Levante | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 28 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonOsasunaAtletico Madrid
1.41Goals p.g.2
1.35Goals conceded p.g.1.68
12%Clean sheets23%
35%Win rate45%
2.76Avg goals in match3.68
Recent Results
OsasunaLAST MATCHES
02 MayOsasuna1–2BarcelonaLa Liga
26 AprOsasuna2–1SevillaLa Liga
21 AprAthletic Club1–0OsasunaLa Liga
12 AprOsasuna1–1Real BetisLa Liga
05 AprAlaves2–2OsasunaLa Liga
21 MarOsasuna1–0GironaLa Liga
6Win35%
6Draw35%
5Lost29%
LAST MATCHESAtletico Madrid
02 MayValencia0–2Atletico MadridLa Liga
29 AprAtletico Madrid1–1ArsenalUEFA Champions League
25 AprAtletico Madrid3–2Athletic ClubLa Liga
22 AprElche3–2Atletico MadridLa Liga
18 AprAtletico Madrid2–2Real SociedadCopa del Rey
14 AprAtletico Madrid1–2BarcelonaUEFA Champions League
10Win45%
3Draw14%
9Lost41%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersOsasuna
No reported absences
Atletico Madrid
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (56.5%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (60%)
Value Bets
Osasuna Win2.56 (38.4%)
Atletico Madrid Win2.57 (38.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.01 (43.5%)
BTTS No2.18 (40%)
Speculative
Draw3.45 (22.8%)
