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Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK

Super League 1Championship Group - 4
Olympiakos Piraeus
#3 · Super League 1
LWLDW
VS
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
PAOK
#2 · Super League 1
WLLDL
51.6%
Home Win
24%
Draw
24.4%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.75
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 (implied 58.1%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 60.6% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.65. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Olympiakos Piraeus will face PAOK in the Super League 1 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Olympiakos Piraeus has a 51.6% probability of winning this match. PAOK has a 24.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Olympiakos Piraeus boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
  • Olympiakos Piraeus have kept clean sheets in 53% of their matches
  • PAOK have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Olympiakos Piraeus51.6%1.72
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.560.6%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No55.9%1.79
Based on avg. implied odds from 6 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-0
5.66
17.7%
1-1
6.34
15.8%
2-0
7.25
13.9%
2-1
7.75
13%
0-0
8.24
12.2%
0-1
10.55
9.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.72Draw 3.43Away 5.00
O/U 2.5Over 2.08Under 1.72
O/U 1.5Over 1.35Under 3.10
O/U 3.5Over 3.62Under 1.26
BTTSYes 1.95No 1.79
Double Chance1X 1.1612 1.28X2 2.07

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
69.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
39.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
25.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Super League 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Levadiakos
29137957421525
WLDWL
1
Atromitos
321010123838040
LWWWD
1
AEK Athens FC
29207253173667
DWWWD
2
Aris Thessalonikis
2981382630-422
WWDLD
2
PAOK
29187455213461
WLDLW
2
Kifisia
32713123545-1034
WDDDD
3
Olympiakos Piraeus
29187448153361
LWLDW
4
Volos NFC
2995153147-1617
LLDWL
5
Asteras Tripolis
32610163247-1528
WLWDD
6
Larisa
32413152850-2225
DLDLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Olympiakos PiraeusPAOK
1.07Goals p.g.1.25
0.67Goals conceded p.g.0.88
53%Clean sheets50%
40%Win rate38%
1.73Avg goals in match2.12

Recent Results

Olympiakos PiraeusLAST MATCHES
03 MayPAOK3–1Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
19 AprPanathinaikos0–2Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
05 AprOlympiakos Piraeus0–1AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
22 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0LarisaSuper League 1
14 MarOFI0–3Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
08 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0PAOKSuper League 1
6Win40%
5Draw33%
4Lost27%
LAST MATCHESPAOK
03 MayPAOK3–1Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
25 AprPAOK2–3OFICup
19 AprAEK Athens FC3–0PAOKSuper League 1
05 AprPAOK0–0PanathinaikosSuper League 1
22 MarVolos NFC2–1PAOKSuper League 1
15 MarPAOK3–0LevadiakosSuper League 1
6Win38%
5Draw31%
5Lost31%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Olympiakos Piraeus

No reported absences

PAOK

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.72 (60.6%)
BTTS No1.79 (55.9%)
●Value Bets
Olympiakos Piraeus Win1.72 (51.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.08 (39.4%)
Both Teams Score1.95 (44.1%)
●Speculative
Draw3.43 (24%)
PAOK Win5.00 (24.4%)
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro