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Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 13
Mito Hollyhock
#6 · J1 League
LWDDL
VS
Best Denki Stadium, Mito
Machida Zelvia
#3 · J1 League
WWWDL
30.9%
Home Win
24.4%
Draw
44.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Mito Hollyhock will face Machida Zelvia in the J1 League at Best Denki Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Mito Hollyhock has a 30.9% probability of winning this match. Machida Zelvia has a 44.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.4%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Machida Zelvia have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Machida Zelvia have kept clean sheets in 42% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Machida Zelvia44.7%2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.555.1%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No50.2%1.74
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
0-1
5.70
17.6%
1-1
5.80
17.3%
0-0
7.39
13.6%
1-0
8.42
11.9%
1-2
8.49
11.9%
0-2
8.58
11.7%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 3.63Draw 3.14Away 2.05
O/U 2.5Over 2.29Under 1.59
O/U 1.5Over 1.40Under 2.73
O/U 3.5Over 4.27Under 1.19
BTTSYes 1.97No 1.74
Double Chance1X 1.7212 1.31X2 1.26

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
66.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
44.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
21.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

J1 League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kashima
1210022071332
WWWLW
1
Vissel Kobe
1180323121125
WWWWL
2
Nagoya Grampus
127052217521
WWLWL
2
FC Tokyo
1290324121226
WWLWL
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
127051915419
WWWLL
3
Machida Zelvia
118031716122
WWLWW
6
Mito Hollyhock
125071724-715
LWWWL
9
Kashiwa Reysol
124081517-211
LLLWW
10
V-varen Nagasaki
114071017-712
LLLWL
10
JEF United Chiba
1220101121-109
LLLWL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia
1.18Goals p.g.1.42
1.71Goals conceded p.g.1.11
24%Clean sheets42%
24%Win rate58%
2.88Avg goals in match2.53

Recent Results

Mito HollyhockLAST MATCHES
24 AprFC Tokyo5–2Mito HollyhockJ1 League
19 AprMito Hollyhock2–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
11 AprJEF United Chiba1–1Mito HollyhockJ1 League
04 AprMito Hollyhock1–1KashimaJ1 League
22 MarKashiwa Reysol3–0Mito HollyhockJ1 League
18 MarMito Hollyhock1–0Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
4Win24%
6Draw35%
7Lost41%
LAST MATCHESMachida Zelvia
21 AprMachida Zelvia1–0Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAFC Champions League Elite
17 AprMachida Zelvia1–0Al-Ittihad FCAFC Champions League Elite
11 AprMachida Zelvia1–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
05 AprFC Tokyo0–0Machida ZelviaJ1 League
01 AprMachida Zelvia0–3FC TokyoJ1 League
28 MarMachida Zelvia1–1Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
11Win58%
5Draw26%
3Lost16%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Mito Hollyhock

No reported absences

Machida Zelvia

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.59 (55.1%)
●Value Bets
Mito Hollyhock Win3.63 (30.9%)
Machida Zelvia Win2.05 (44.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.29 (44.9%)
Both Teams Score1.97 (49.8%)
BTTS No1.74 (50.2%)
●Speculative
Draw3.14 (24.4%)
Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia Predictions, Stats, H2H - 29 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro