Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
#6 · J1 League
LWDDL
2 - 0
Best Denki Stadium, Mito
Kashiwa Reysol
#9 · J1 League
LLLWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.79
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.75 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 51.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Mito Hollyhock will face Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League at Best Denki Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Mito Hollyhock has a 33.7% probability of winning this match. Kashiwa Reysol has a 43.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.2%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Kashiwa Reysol43.1%1.79
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.7%1.75
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%1.89
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
5.93
16.9%
1-1
6.11
16.4%
0-2
7.57
13.3%
1-2
7.77
13%
0-0
8.35
12%
1-0
10.33
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 4.45 | Draw 3.41 | Away 1.79 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.04 | Under 1.75 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.32 | Under 3.11 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.59 | Under 1.26 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.89 | No 1.83 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.95 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.18 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.9%
Over 1.5 Goals70.1%
Over 2.5 Goals48.3%
Over 3.5 Goals26%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 15 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 | LLLWL |
| 10 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonMito HollyhockKashiwa Reysol
1.18Goals p.g.1.29
1.71Goals conceded p.g.1.29
24%Clean sheets29%
24%Win rate41%
2.88Avg goals in match2.59
Recent Results
Mito HollyhockLAST MATCHES
24 AprFC Tokyo5–2Mito HollyhockJ1 League
19 AprMito Hollyhock2–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
11 AprJEF United Chiba1–1Mito HollyhockJ1 League
04 AprMito Hollyhock1–1KashimaJ1 League
22 MarKashiwa Reysol3–0Mito HollyhockJ1 League
18 MarMito Hollyhock1–0Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
4Win24%
6Draw35%
7Lost41%
LAST MATCHESKashiwa Reysol
24 AprKashiwa Reysol0–1KashimaJ1 League
19 AprMito Hollyhock2–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
11 AprMachida Zelvia1–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
05 AprKashiwa Reysol3–0Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
22 MarKashiwa Reysol3–0Mito HollyhockJ1 League
18 MarUrawa1–1Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
7Win41%
1Draw6%
9Lost53%
Lineups
ConfirmedMito Hollyhock4-4-2Confirmed
2Danilo CardosoDEF
17Kenta ItakuraDEF
7Sho OmoriDEF
6Takahiro IidaDEF
29Tada KeisukeFWD
10Arata WatanabeFWD
34Konosuke NishikawaGK
25Takumi MaseMID
19Taishi SembaMID
3Koshi OsakiMID
70Matheus LeiriaMID
Substitutes
4Takeshi UshizawaDEF
44Koya OkudaFWD
9Ryo NemotoFWD
13Shohei AiharaFWD
21Shuhei MatsubaraGK
14Mizuki AraiMID
24Kiichi YamazakiMID
39Yamamota HayataMID
48Yuto YamashitaMID
Kashiwa Reysol3-4-2-1Confirmed
2Hiromu MitsumaruDEF
4Taiyo KogaDEF
88Seiya BabaDEF
87Hinata YamauchiFWD
9Mao HosoyaFWD
8Yoshio KoizumiFWD
25Ryosuke KojimaGK
24Tojiro KuboMID
39Nobuteru NakagawaMID
28Sachiro ToshimaMID
15Yota KomiMID
Substitutes
32Yosei YamauchiDEF
26Daiki SugiokaDEF
42Wataru HaradaDEF
18Yuki KakitaFWD
29Kengo NagaiGK
21Yudai KonishiMID
14Tomoaki OkuboMID
20Yusuke SegawaMID
16Koya YurukiMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersMito Hollyhock
No reported absences
Kashiwa Reysol
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Mito Hollyhock Win4.45 (33.7%)
Kashiwa Reysol Win1.79 (43.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (48.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.75 (51.7%)
Both Teams Score1.89 (51.6%)
BTTS No1.83 (48.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.41 (23.2%)
