Mallorca vs Villarreal
Mallorca
#15 · La Liga
WLDWW
VS
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Villarreal
#3 · La Liga
WWDWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Mallorca will face Villarreal in the La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Mallorca has a 39.3% probability of winning this match. Villarreal has a 37.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Mallorca have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Villarreal sit 3rd in the table, 12 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Mallorca39.3%2.42
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.7%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.4%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.36
15.8%
2-1
8.70
11.5%
1-0
9.12
11%
1-2
9.53
10.6%
0-1
9.74
10.3%
2-2
11.25
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.42 | Draw 3.45 | Away 2.77 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.76 | Under 2.07 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 3.95 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.79 | Under 1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.59 | No 2.25 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.42 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.7%
Over 1.5 Goals76.3%
Over 2.5 Goals55.7%
Over 3.5 Goals33.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 34 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 88 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 77 | WDWDL |
| 3 | Villarreal | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 68 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 63 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 47 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Mallorca | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 18 |  Alaves | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 36 | LWLDD |
| 19 |  Levante | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 28 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonMallorcaVillarreal
1.35Goals p.g.1.65
1.59Goals conceded p.g.1.47
12%Clean sheets6%
35%Win rate47%
2.94Avg goals in match3.12
Recent Results
MallorcaLAST MATCHES
01 MayGirona0–1MallorcaLa Liga
25 AprAlaves2–1MallorcaLa Liga
21 AprMallorca1–1ValenciaLa Liga
12 AprMallorca3–0Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
04 AprMallorca2–1Real MadridLa Liga
21 MarElche2–1MallorcaLa Liga
6Win35%
2Draw12%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESVillarreal
02 MayVillarreal5–1LevanteLa Liga
26 AprVillarreal2–1Celta VigoLa Liga
23 AprOviedo1–1VillarrealLa Liga
12 AprAthletic Club1–2VillarrealLa Liga
06 AprGirona1–0VillarrealLa Liga
20 MarVillarreal3–1Real SociedadLa Liga
8Win47%
3Draw18%
6Lost35%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersMallorca
No reported absences
Villarreal
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.76 (55.7%)
Both Teams Score1.59 (59.4%)
Value Bets
Mallorca Win2.42 (39.3%)
Villarreal Win2.77 (37.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.07 (44.3%)
BTTS No2.25 (40.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.45 (22.9%)
