Cremonese vs Pisa
Cremonese
#18 · Serie A
LLDLL
VS
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Pisa
#20 · Serie A
LLLLL
★ OUR PICK
Cremonese to Win
Strong home form and superior underlying numbers over Pisa make Cremonese the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.76
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 (implied 59.4%) for Cremonese to Win. Our model calculates a 63.3% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.58. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Cremonese will face Pisa in the Serie A at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Cremonese has a 63.3% probability of winning this match. Pisa has a 14.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.2 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Cremonese63.3%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.1%1.72
Both Teams to Score
No50.6%1.72
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.61
17.9%
1-1
6.70
15%
2-0
7.06
14.2%
2-1
7.97
12.6%
0-0
8.55
11.7%
0-1
10.91
9.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.68 | Draw 3.76 | Away 4.91 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.13 | Under 1.72 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.36 | Under 3.03 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.87 | Under 1.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.02 | No 1.72 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.17 | 12 1.25 | X2 2.14 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.1%
Over 1.5 Goals69%
Over 2.5 Goals46.9%
Over 3.5 Goals24.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82 | 31 | 51 | 82 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 70 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 67 | LDWLL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 5 |  AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 64 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 62 | DWLLD |
| 18 | Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 20 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCremonesePisa
0.53Goals p.g.0.71
1.88Goals conceded p.g.2.24
24%Clean sheets6%
6%Win rate6%
2.41Avg goals in match2.94
Recent Results
CremoneseLAST MATCHES
04 MayCremonese1–2LazioSerie A
24 AprNapoli4–0CremoneseSerie A
19 AprCremonese0–0TorinoSerie A
11 AprCagliari1–0CremoneseSerie A
05 AprCremonese1–2BolognaSerie A
21 MarParma0–2CremoneseSerie A
1Win6%
4Draw24%
12Lost71%
LAST MATCHESPisa
01 MayPisa1–2LecceSerie A
25 AprParma1–0PisaSerie A
19 AprPisa1–2GenoaSerie A
10 AprAS Roma3–0PisaSerie A
05 AprPisa0–1TorinoSerie A
22 MarComo5–0PisaSerie A
1Win6%
3Draw18%
13Lost76%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCremonese
No reported absences
Pisa
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Cremonese Win1.68 (63.3%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.13 (46.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.72 (53.1%)
Both Teams Score2.02 (49.4%)
BTTS No1.72 (50.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.76 (22%)
Pisa Win4.91 (14.8%)
