Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba

Kawasaki Frontale
#4 · J1 League
WWLWD
2 - 1
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki
Referee: Hiroyuki Kimura, Japan

JEF United Chiba
#10 · J1 League
LLDWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Kawasaki Frontale will face JEF United Chiba in the J1 League at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Kawasaki Frontale has a 56.1% probability of winning this match. JEF United Chiba has a 22.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Kawasaki Frontale have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Kawasaki Frontale56.1%1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.7%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.5%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.97
14.4%
2-1
7.40
13.6%
1-0
8.08
12.4%
2-0
8.83
11.4%
3-1
11.77
8.6%
2-2
12.12
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.73 | Draw 3.80 | Away 4.26 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.63 | Under 2.21 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.18 | Under 4.36 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.54 | Under 1.46 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.60 | No 2.18 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.19 | 12 1.23 | X2 2.04 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals78.7%
Over 2.5 Goals58.7%
Over 3.5 Goals36.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | WWWLW | |
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 | WWWWL | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 | WWLWL | |
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 | WWLWL | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 | WWWLL | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 | WWLWW | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 20 | WWLWL | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 | LLLWW | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 | LLLWL | |
| 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonKawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba
1.72Goals p.g.1.35
1.83Goals conceded p.g.1.35
11%Clean sheets24%
39%Win rate35%
3.56Avg goals in match2.71
Recent Results
Kawasaki FrontaleLAST MATCHES
25 AprKawasaki Frontale2–1JEF United ChibaJ1 League
18 AprYokohama F. Marinos1–2Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
12 AprKawasaki Frontale0–2KashimaJ1 League
05 AprKawasaki Frontale3–2UrawaJ1 League
28 MarMachida Zelvia1–1Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
22 MarKawasaki Frontale0–5Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
7Win39%
4Draw22%
7Lost39%
LAST MATCHESJEF United Chiba
25 AprKawasaki Frontale2–1JEF United ChibaJ1 League
18 AprTokyo Verdy1–0JEF United ChibaJ1 League
11 AprJEF United Chiba1–1Mito HollyhockJ1 League
04 AprJEF United Chiba3–2Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
22 MarKashima2–1JEF United ChibaJ1 League
18 MarJEF United Chiba1–2FC TokyoJ1 League
6Win35%
3Draw18%
8Lost47%
Lineups
Confirmed
Kawasaki Frontale4-2-3-1Confirmed
29Reon YamaharaDEF
13Sota MiuraDEF
28Yuichi MaruyamaDEF
2Yuto MatsunaganeDEF
91Lazar RomanićFWD
49Svend BrodersenGK
14Yasuto WakizakaMID
17Tatsuya ItoMID
6Yuki YamamotoMID
8Kento TachibanadaMID
24Ten MiyagiMID
Substitutes
5Asahi SasakiDEF
32Shunsuke HayashiDEF
9ErisonFWD
38Soma KandaFWD
23MarcinhoFWD
1Louis YamaguchiGK
15Toya MyoganMID
34Ryuki OsaMID
19So KawaharaMID
JEF United Chiba4-4-2Confirmed
39Rikuto IshioDEF
28Takashi KawanoDEF
3Ryota KuboniwaDEF
2Issei TakahashiDEF
20Daichi IshikawaFWD
10Carlinhos JuniorFWD
19Jose Aurelio SuarezGK
5Yusuke KobayashiMID
42Zain IssakaMID
8Takumi TsukuiMID
41Takuya YasuiMID
Substitutes
9Hiroto GoyaFWD
35Tomoya WakaharaGK
14Naoki TsubakiMID
32Taiki AmagasaMID
33Yuma IgariMID
37Makoto HimenoMID
18Naohiro SugiyamaMID
67Masaru HidakaMID
44Manato ShinadaMID
Unavailable Players
0 players
Kawasaki Frontale
No reported absences
JEF United Chiba
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Kawasaki Frontale Win1.73 (56.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.63 (58.7%)
Both Teams Score1.60 (59.5%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.21 (41.3%)
BTTS No2.18 (40.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.80 (21.2%)
JEF United Chiba Win4.26 (22.7%)








