Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
#9 · J1 League
LLLWW
0 - 1
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Kashima
#1 · J1 League
WWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.81
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Kashiwa Reysol will face Kashima in the J1 League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Kashiwa Reysol has a 36.2% probability of winning this match. Kashima has a 39.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Kashima are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Kashima sit 1st in the table, 8 places above their opponents
- Kashima have a solid defence with 0.6 goals conceded per game
- Kashima have kept clean sheets in 59% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Kashima39.8%2.90
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.2%1.77
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%1.75
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.87
17.1%
1-0
7.28
13.8%
0-1
8.01
12.6%
2-1
8.76
11.5%
0-0
8.91
11.3%
1-2
9.56
10.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.37 | Draw 3.27 | Away 2.90 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.01 | Under 1.77 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.31 | Under 3.20 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.49 | Under 1.27 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.75 | No 1.96 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.39 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.3%
Over 1.5 Goals70.9%
Over 2.5 Goals45.8%
Over 3.5 Goals26.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 | LLLWL |
| 10 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonKashiwa ReysolKashima
1.29Goals p.g.1.71
1.29Goals conceded p.g.0.59
29%Clean sheets59%
41%Win rate82%
2.59Avg goals in match2.29
Recent Results
Kashiwa ReysolLAST MATCHES
24 AprKashiwa Reysol0–1KashimaJ1 League
19 AprMito Hollyhock2–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
11 AprMachida Zelvia1–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
05 AprKashiwa Reysol3–0Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
22 MarKashiwa Reysol3–0Mito HollyhockJ1 League
18 MarUrawa1–1Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
7Win41%
1Draw6%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESKashima
24 AprKashiwa Reysol0–1KashimaJ1 League
18 AprKashima1–0UrawaJ1 League
12 AprKawasaki Frontale0–2KashimaJ1 League
04 AprMito Hollyhock1–1KashimaJ1 League
22 MarKashima2–1JEF United ChibaJ1 League
18 MarMachida Zelvia0–3KashimaJ1 League
14Win82%
3Draw18%
0Lost0%
Lineups
ConfirmedKashiwa Reysol3-4-2-1Confirmed
42Wataru HaradaDEF
2Hiromu MitsumaruDEF
4Taiyo KogaDEF
9Mao HosoyaFWD
14Tomoaki OkuboFWD
8Yoshio KoizumiFWD
29Kengo NagaiGK
21Yudai KonishiMID
32Yosei YamauchiMID
39Nobuteru NakagawaMID
16Koya YurukiMID
Substitutes
26Daiki SugiokaDEF
88Seiya BabaDEF
18Yuki KakitaFWD
15Yota KomiFWD
46Kenta MatsumotoGK
28Sachiro ToshimaMID
40Riki HarakawaMID
20Yusuke SegawaMID
87Hinata YamauchiMID
Kashima4-4-2Confirmed
55Naomichi UedaDEF
2Koki AnzaiDEF
3Tae-hyeon KimDEF
22Kimito NonoDEF
40Yuma SuzukiFWD
9Léo CearáFWD
1Tomoki HayakawaGK
71Ryotaro ArakiMID
27Yuta MatsumuraMID
6Kento MisaoMID
14Yuta HiguchiMID
Substitutes
7Ryoya OgawaDEF
23Keisuke TsukuiDEF
19Shu MorookaFWD
77Aleksandar ČavrićFWD
17ElberFWD
29Yuji KajikawaGK
13Kei ChinenMID
24Haruki HayashiMID
10Gaku ShibasakiMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersKashiwa Reysol
No reported absences
Kashima
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Kashiwa Reysol Win2.37 (36.2%)
Kashima Win2.90 (39.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.01 (45.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.77 (54.2%)
Both Teams Score1.75 (50.6%)
BTTS No1.96 (49.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.27 (24%)
