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Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 13
Kashiwa Reysol
#9 · J1 League
LLLWW
VS
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa (15,900)
FC Tokyo
#2 · J1 League
WWDWD
38.2%
Home Win
23.8%
Draw
38%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.85
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.81 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 52.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Kashiwa Reysol will face FC Tokyo in the J1 League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Kashiwa Reysol has a 38.2% probability of winning this match. FC Tokyo has a 38% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.8%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • FC Tokyo have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • FC Tokyo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Kashiwa Reysol38.2%2.28
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.8%1.81
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%1.74
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
5.94
16.9%
1-0
7.30
13.7%
2-1
8.59
11.7%
0-1
8.59
11.7%
0-0
8.99
11.2%
1-2
10.15
9.9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.28Draw 3.31Away 2.95
O/U 2.5Over 1.97Under 1.81
O/U 1.5Over 1.30Under 3.28
O/U 3.5Over 3.41Under 1.27
BTTSYes 1.74No 1.98
Double Chance1X 1.3612 1.30X2 1.58

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
71.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
47.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
27.2%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

J1 League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kashima
1210022071332
WWWLW
1
Vissel Kobe
1180323121125
WWWWL
2
Nagoya Grampus
127052217521
WWLWL
2
FC Tokyo
1290324121226
WWLWL
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
127051915419
WWWLL
3
Machida Zelvia
118031716122
WWLWW
9
Kashiwa Reysol
124081517-211
LLLWW
10
V-varen Nagasaki
114071017-712
LLLWL
10
JEF United Chiba
1220101121-109
LLLWL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo
1.29Goals p.g.1.53
1.29Goals conceded p.g.0.94
29%Clean sheets29%
41%Win rate41%
2.59Avg goals in match2.47

Recent Results

Kashiwa ReysolLAST MATCHES
24 AprKashiwa Reysol0–1KashimaJ1 League
19 AprMito Hollyhock2–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
11 AprMachida Zelvia1–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
05 AprKashiwa Reysol3–0Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
22 MarKashiwa Reysol3–0Mito HollyhockJ1 League
18 MarUrawa1–1Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
7Win41%
1Draw6%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESFC Tokyo
24 AprFC Tokyo5–2Mito HollyhockJ1 League
11 AprYokohama F. Marinos1–3FC TokyoJ1 League
05 AprFC Tokyo0–0Machida ZelviaJ1 League
01 AprMachida Zelvia0–3FC TokyoJ1 League
22 MarTokyo Verdy0–0FC TokyoJ1 League
18 MarJEF United Chiba1–2FC TokyoJ1 League
7Win41%
7Draw41%
2Lost12%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Kashiwa Reysol

No reported absences

FC Tokyo

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets
Kashiwa Reysol Win2.28 (38.2%)
FC Tokyo Win2.95 (38%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.97 (47.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.81 (52.8%)
Both Teams Score1.74 (52.3%)
BTTS No1.98 (47.7%)
●Speculative
Draw3.31 (23.8%)
Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo Predictions, Stats, H2H - 29 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro