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Juventus vs Fiorentina

Serie ARegular Season - 37
Juventus
#4 · Serie A
DDWWW
VS
Allianz Stadium, Turin
Fiorentina
#16 · Serie A
LDDWW
64.6%
Home Win
18.3%
Draw
17.2%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.69
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Juventus will face Fiorentina in the Serie A at Allianz Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Juventus has a 64.6% probability of winning this match. Fiorentina has a 17.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.3%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Juventus have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Juventus are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Juventus sit 4th in the table, 12 places above their opponents
  • Juventus have kept clean sheets in 41% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
1 — Juventus64.6%1.41
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.8%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%1.86
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-0
6.87
14.6%
1-0
7.27
13.8%
2-1
7.84
12.8%
1-1
8.66
11.6%
3-0
9.09
11.1%
3-1
10.54
9.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.41Draw 4.92Away 6.95
O/U 2.5Over 1.64Under 2.30
O/U 1.5Over 1.18Under 4.49
O/U 3.5Over 2.54Under 1.48
BTTSYes 1.86No 1.89
Double Chance1X 1.1012 1.17X2 2.93

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
79.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
36.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Inter
35264582315182
WDWWW
2
Napoli
35217752331970
DWLDW
3
AC Milan
351910648291967
LDWLL
4
Juventus
351811658302865
DDWWW
5
AS Roma
352041152292364
WWDWL
6
Como
351711759283162
DWLLD
16
Fiorentina
35813143849-1137
LDDWW
18
Cremonese
35610192753-2628
LLDLL
19
Hellas Verona
35311212457-3320
DDLLL
20
Pisa
35212212563-3818
LLLLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
JuventusFiorentina
1.65Goals p.g.1.29
1.35Goals conceded p.g.1.43
41%Clean sheets29%
41%Win rate43%
3Avg goals in match2.71

Recent Results

JuventusLAST MATCHES
03 MayJuventus1–1Hellas VeronaSerie A
26 AprAC Milan0–0JuventusSerie A
19 AprJuventus2–0BolognaSerie A
11 AprAtalanta0–1JuventusSerie A
06 AprJuventus2–0GenoaSerie A
21 MarJuventus1–1SassuoloSerie A
7Win41%
6Draw35%
4Lost24%
LAST MATCHESFiorentina
04 MayAS Roma4–0FiorentinaSerie A
26 AprFiorentina0–0SassuoloSerie A
20 AprLecce1–1FiorentinaSerie A
16 AprFiorentina2–1Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa Conference League
13 AprFiorentina1–0LazioSerie A
09 AprCrystal Palace3–0FiorentinaUEFA Europa Conference League
9Win43%
5Draw24%
7Lost33%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Juventus

No reported absences

Fiorentina

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Juventus Win1.41 (64.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.64 (56.8%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.30 (43.2%)
Both Teams Score1.86 (53.3%)
BTTS No1.89 (46.7%)
●Speculative
Draw4.92 (18.3%)
Fiorentina Win6.95 (17.2%)
Juventus vs Fiorentina Predictions, Stats, H2H - 17 May 2026 | SureTipsPro