Home›Bundesliga›Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Predictions

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg

BundesligaRegular Season - 33
Hamburger SV
#12 · Bundesliga
WLLLD
VS
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
SC Freiburg
#7 · Bundesliga
DLLLW
40.3%
Home Win
22.7%
Draw
37%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Hamburger SV will face SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Hamburger SV has a 40.3% probability of winning this match. SC Freiburg has a 37% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Hamburger SV40.3%2.74
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.3%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.2%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.53
15.4%
1-2
8.67
11.6%
0-1
9.56
10.5%
2-1
9.64
10.4%
1-0
10.01
10%
2-2
11.14
9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.74Draw 3.55Away 2.38
O/U 2.5Over 1.70Under 2.15
O/U 1.5Over 1.20Under 4.23
O/U 3.5Over 2.69Under 1.43
BTTSYes 1.57No 2.30
Double Chance1X 1.5412 1.28X2 1.43

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
53.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
34.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bayern München
322651116358183
DWWWW
2
Borussia Dortmund
32207565323367
LWLLW
3
RB Leipzig
32195863422162
LWWWW
4
Bayer Leverkusen
32177866432358
WWLWW
5
VfB Stuttgart
32177866462058
DDLWL
6
1899 Hoffenheim
32177864481658
DWWDL
7
SC Freiburg
32128124553-844
DLWWL
12
Hamburger SV
32810143651-1534
WLLLD
16
VfL Wolfsburg
3268184267-2526
DDWLL
17
FC St. Pauli
3268182755-2826
LLDLD
18
1. FC Heidenheim
3258193869-3123
DWLWD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg
1.18Goals p.g.1.3
1.53Goals conceded p.g.1.3
18%Clean sheets22%
24%Win rate43%
2.71Avg goals in match2.61

Recent Results

Hamburger SVLAST MATCHES
02 MayEintracht Frankfurt1–2Hamburger SVBundesliga
25 AprHamburger SV1–21899 HoffenheimBundesliga
18 AprWerder Bremen3–1Hamburger SVBundesliga
12 AprVfB Stuttgart4–0Hamburger SVBundesliga
04 AprHamburger SV1–1FC AugsburgBundesliga
21 MarBorussia Dortmund3–2Hamburger SVBundesliga
4Win24%
6Draw35%
7Lost41%
LAST MATCHESSC Freiburg
03 MaySC Freiburg1–1VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
30 AprSC Braga2–1SC FreiburgUEFA Europa League
26 AprBorussia Dortmund4–0SC FreiburgBundesliga
23 AprVfB Stuttgart2–1SC FreiburgDFB Pokal
19 AprSC Freiburg2–11. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
16 AprCelta Vigo1–3SC FreiburgUEFA Europa League
10Win43%
3Draw13%
10Lost43%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Hamburger SV

No reported absences

SC Freiburg

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Both Teams Score1.57 (57.2%)
●Value Bets
Hamburger SV Win2.74 (40.3%)
SC Freiburg Win2.38 (37%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.70 (53.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.15 (46.7%)
BTTS No2.30 (42.8%)
●Speculative
Draw3.55 (22.7%)
Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro