Home›Bundesliga›RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli Predictions

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli

BundesligaRegular Season - 33
RB Leipzig
#3 · Bundesliga
LWWWW
VS
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
#17 · Bundesliga
LLDLD
71.3%
Home Win
17.3%
Draw
11.4%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.74 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , RB Leipzig will face FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that RB Leipzig has a 71.3% probability of winning this match. FC St. Pauli has a 11.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.3%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • RB Leipzig are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • RB Leipzig sit 3rd in the table, 14 places above their opponents

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Strong confidence
Match Result
1 — RB Leipzig71.3%1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.560.3%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%1.74
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-0
7.17
14%
2-1
7.94
12.7%
1-0
8.42
11.9%
3-0
8.84
11.3%
1-1
9.80
10.3%
3-1
9.82
10.2%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.33Draw 5.20Away 8.14
O/U 2.5Over 1.48Under 2.57
O/U 1.5Over 1.13Under 5.33
O/U 3.5Over 2.22Under 1.67
BTTSYes 1.74No 2.01
Double Chance1X 1.0712 1.15X2 3.22

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
Over 1.5 Goals
82.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
60.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
42.9%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bayern München
322651116358183
DWWWW
2
Borussia Dortmund
32207565323367
LWLLW
3
RB Leipzig
32195863422162
LWWWW
4
Bayer Leverkusen
32177866432358
WWLWW
5
VfB Stuttgart
32177866462058
DDLWL
6
1899 Hoffenheim
32177864481658
DWWDL
16
VfL Wolfsburg
3268184267-2526
DDWLL
17
FC St. Pauli
3268182755-2826
LLDLD
18
1. FC Heidenheim
3258193869-3123
DWLWD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
RB LeipzigFC St. Pauli
1.82Goals p.g.0.76
1.47Goals conceded p.g.1.76
18%Clean sheets18%
53%Win rate18%
3.29Avg goals in match2.53

Recent Results

RB LeipzigLAST MATCHES
02 MayBayer Leverkusen4–1RB LeipzigBundesliga
24 AprRB Leipzig3–1Union BerlinBundesliga
18 AprEintracht Frankfurt1–3RB LeipzigBundesliga
11 AprRB Leipzig1–0Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
04 AprWerder Bremen1–2RB LeipzigBundesliga
20 MarRB Leipzig5–01899 HoffenheimBundesliga
9Win53%
3Draw18%
5Lost29%
LAST MATCHESFC St. Pauli
03 MayFC St. Pauli1–2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
25 Apr1. FC Heidenheim2–0FC St. PauliBundesliga
17 AprFC St. Pauli1–11. FC KölnBundesliga
11 AprFC St. Pauli0–5Bayern MünchenBundesliga
05 AprUnion Berlin1–1FC St. PauliBundesliga
22 MarFC St. Pauli1–2SC FreiburgBundesliga
3Win18%
5Draw29%
9Lost53%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

RB Leipzig

No reported absences

FC St. Pauli

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
RB Leipzig Win1.33 (71.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.48 (60.3%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.57 (39.7%)
Both Teams Score1.74 (54.6%)
BTTS No2.01 (45.4%)
●Speculative
Draw5.20 (17.3%)
FC St. Pauli Win8.14 (11.4%)
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro