Girona vs Real Sociedad
Girona
#16 · La Liga
LLLDW
VS
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Real Sociedad
#9 · La Liga
LDLDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Girona will face Real Sociedad in the La Liga at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Girona has a 41.6% probability of winning this match. Real Sociedad has a 35.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.5%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Girona41.6%2.23
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.1%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.6%1.58
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.57
15.3%
2-1
8.51
11.8%
1-0
9.06
11.1%
1-2
9.95
10.1%
0-1
10.78
9.3%
2-2
11.41
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.23 | Draw 3.56 | Away 2.96 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.72 | Under 2.12 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.08 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.73 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.58 | No 2.28 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.38 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.2%
Over 1.5 Goals77%
Over 2.5 Goals55.1%
Over 3.5 Goals34.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 34 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 88 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 77 | WDWDL |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 68 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 63 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 47 | WLLLW |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 43 | LDLDW |
| 16 | Girona | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 38 | LLLDW |
| 18 |  Alaves | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 36 | LWLDD |
| 19 |  Levante | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 28 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGironaReal Sociedad
1.24Goals p.g.1.83
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.61
24%Clean sheets22%
35%Win rate44%
2.29Avg goals in match3.44
Recent Results
GironaLAST MATCHES
01 MayGirona0–1MallorcaLa Liga
25 AprValencia2–1GironaLa Liga
21 AprGirona2–3Real BetisLa Liga
10 AprReal Madrid1–1GironaLa Liga
06 AprGirona1–0VillarrealLa Liga
21 MarOsasuna1–0GironaLa Liga
6Win35%
5Draw29%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESReal Sociedad
04 MaySevilla1–0Real SociedadLa Liga
26 AprRayo Vallecano3–3Real SociedadLa Liga
22 AprReal Sociedad0–1GetafeLa Liga
18 AprAtletico Madrid2–2Real SociedadCopa del Rey
11 AprReal Sociedad3–3AlavesLa Liga
04 AprReal Sociedad2–0LevanteLa Liga
8Win44%
5Draw28%
5Lost28%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGirona
No reported absences
Real Sociedad
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.72 (55.1%)
Both Teams Score1.58 (58.6%)
Value Bets
Girona Win2.23 (41.6%)
Real Sociedad Win2.96 (35.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.12 (44.9%)
BTTS No2.28 (41.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.56 (22.5%)
