Genk vs KVC Westerlo
Genk
#2 · Jupiler Pro League
LDDWD
VS
Cegeka Arena, Genk
KVC Westerlo
#3 · Jupiler Pro League
DLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Genk to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over KVC Westerlo make Genk the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.79
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Genk to Win. Our model calculates a 52.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Genk will face KVC Westerlo in the Jupiler Pro League at Cegeka Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Genk has a 52.8% probability of winning this match. KVC Westerlo has a 26.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Genk52.8%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.560.2%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.8%1.46
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.60
13.3%
1-1
7.79
13%
2-0
9.90
10.2%
1-0
10.01
10.1%
3-1
10.67
9.5%
2-2
10.98
9.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.69 | Draw 4.03 | Away 4.21 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.45 | Under 2.63 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.12 | Under 5.57 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.14 | Under 1.68 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.46 | No 2.51 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.21 | 12 1.21 | X2 2.07 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals83.2%
Over 2.5 Goals60.2%
Over 3.5 Goals44%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Standard Liege | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 30 | WDLWL |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Genk | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 30 | LDDWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WWWDL |
| 3 | KVC Westerlo | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 30 | DLWLW |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | LWWWD |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | WLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGenkKVC Westerlo
1.7Goals p.g.1.17
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.28
25%Clean sheets39%
50%Win rate39%
3.2Avg goals in match2.44
Recent Results
GenkLAST MATCHES
02 MayCharleroi2–0GenkJupiler Pro League
25 AprGenk1–1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
21 AprGenk1–1CharleroiJupiler Pro League
18 AprKVC Westerlo1–2GenkJupiler Pro League
12 AprGenk0–0OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
03 AprAntwerp1–2GenkJupiler Pro League
10Win50%
6Draw30%
4Lost20%
LAST MATCHESKVC Westerlo
02 MayKVC Westerlo3–3OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
25 AprKVC Westerlo2–4AntwerpJupiler Pro League
21 AprOH Leuven0–2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
18 AprKVC Westerlo1–2GenkJupiler Pro League
11 AprStandard Liege1–2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
05 AprKVC Westerlo2–0CharleroiJupiler Pro League
7Win39%
5Draw28%
6Lost33%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGenk
No reported absences
KVC Westerlo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.45 (60.2%)
Both Teams Score1.46 (60.8%)
Value Bets
Genk Win1.69 (52.8%)
KVC Westerlo Win4.21 (26.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.63 (39.8%)
BTTS No2.51 (39.2%)
Speculative
Draw4.03 (20.6%)
