Zulte Waregem vs Dender
Zulte Waregem
#13 · Jupiler Pro League
WWWWD
VS
Elindus Arena, Waregem
Dender
#16 · Jupiler Pro League
WLLLW
★ OUR PICK
Zulte Waregem to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Dender make Zulte Waregem the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Zulte Waregem to Win. Our model calculates a 59.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Zulte Waregem will face Dender in the Jupiler Pro League at Elindus Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Zulte Waregem has a 59.5% probability of winning this match. Dender has a 19.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Zulte Waregem are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Zulte Waregem59.5%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.2%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.4%1.71
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.04
14.3%
1-0
7.14
14.1%
2-1
7.34
13.7%
2-0
7.60
13.2%
3-1
11.16
9.1%
3-0
11.41
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.59 | Draw 3.92 | Away 5.10 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.70 | Under 2.11 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.07 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.69 | Under 1.43 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.71 | No 2.02 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.16 | 12 1.22 | X2 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.5%
Over 1.5 Goals77.1%
Over 2.5 Goals55.2%
Over 3.5 Goals34.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Standard Liege | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 30 | WDLWL |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  Genk | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 30 | LDDWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WWWDL |
| 3 |  KVC Westerlo | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 30 | DLWLW |
| 13 | Zulte Waregem | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 32 | WWWWD |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | LWWWD |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | WLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonZulte WaregemDender
1.65Goals p.g.0.82
1.65Goals conceded p.g.1.65
24%Clean sheets24%
41%Win rate18%
3.29Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
Zulte WaregemLAST MATCHES
01 MayCercle Brugge2–3Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
26 AprZulte Waregem4–0RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
19 AprRAAL La Louvière0–2Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
12 AprDender1–2Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
04 AprZulte Waregem2–2Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
22 MarZulte Waregem1–0CharleroiJupiler Pro League
7Win41%
1Draw6%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESDender
03 MayDender2–1RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
24 AprCercle Brugge2–1DenderJupiler Pro League
19 AprDender1–4Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
12 AprDender1–2Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
06 AprRAAL La Louvière0–1DenderJupiler Pro League
22 MarDender1–3GentJupiler Pro League
3Win18%
3Draw18%
10Lost59%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersZulte Waregem
No reported absences
Dender
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Zulte Waregem Win1.59 (59.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.70 (55.2%)
Both Teams Score1.71 (55.4%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.11 (44.8%)
BTTS No2.02 (44.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.92 (20.9%)
Dender Win5.10 (19.7%)
