Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
#4 · J1 League
DLDWL
1 - 2
Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita
Avispa Fukuoka
#9 · J1 League
LWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.95
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.92 (implied 52.1%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.2% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.92. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Gamba Osaka will face Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Gamba Osaka has a 50.2% probability of winning this match. Avispa Fukuoka has a 26.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Avispa Fukuoka have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Gamba Osaka50.2%1.85
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.4%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.2%1.92
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.86
17.1%
1-1
6.16
16.3%
2-0
7.68
13.1%
2-1
7.81
12.9%
0-0
8.17
12.3%
0-1
9.45
10.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.85 | Draw 3.35 | Away 4.19 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.14 | Under 1.68 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.35 | Under 2.96 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.87 | Under 1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.92 | No 1.78 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.20 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.6%
Over 1.5 Goals68.6%
Over 2.5 Goals48.6%
Over 3.5 Goals24.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 | LWLWL |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 9 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 | LLLWL |
| 10 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonGamba OsakaAvispa Fukuoka
1.5Goals p.g.1.44
1.15Goals conceded p.g.1.72
20%Clean sheets11%
35%Win rate28%
2.65Avg goals in match3.17
Recent Results
Gamba OsakaLAST MATCHES
25 AprV-varen Nagasaki1–1Gamba OsakaJ1 League
22 AprGamba Osaka1–2Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
19 AprGamba Osaka2–2Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League
15 AprBangkok United0–3Gamba OsakaAFC Champions League Two
11 AprGamba Osaka0–1Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
08 AprGamba Osaka0–1Bangkok UnitedAFC Champions League Two
7Win35%
9Draw45%
4Lost20%
LAST MATCHESAvispa Fukuoka
25 AprFagiano Okayama2–0Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
22 AprGamba Osaka1–2Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
19 AprNagoya Grampus2–2Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
11 AprAvispa Fukuoka1–0V-varen NagasakiJ1 League
05 AprSanfrecce Hiroshima0–1Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
21 MarAvispa Fukuoka2–2Gamba OsakaJ1 League
5Win28%
6Draw33%
6Lost33%
Lineups
ConfirmedGamba Osaka4-2-3-1Confirmed
47Shinya NakanoDEF
5Genta MiuraDEF
4Shinnosuke NakataniDEF
15Takeru KishimotoDEF
42Harumi MinaminoFWD
18Rui ArakiGK
27Rin MitoMID
17Ryoya YamashitaMID
11Issam JebaliMID
8Ryotaro MeshinoMID
13Shuto AbeMID
Substitutes
21Ryo HatsuseDEF
19Ginjiro IkegayaDEF
40Shoji ToyamaFWD
23Deniz HümmetFWD
7Takashi UsamiFWD
1Masaaki HigashiguchiGK
44Kanji OkunukiMID
10Shu KurataMID
16Tokuma SuzukiMID
Avispa Fukuoka3-4-2-1Confirmed
45Daiki MiyaDEF
5Takumi KamijimaDEF
16Teppei OkaDEF
7Shosei UsuiFWD
25Yuji KitajimaFWD
27Yutaka MichiwakiFWD
41Kazuki FujitaGK
47Yu HashimotoMID
34Keiya ShiihashiMID
11Tomoya MikiMID
22Kazuki FujimotoMID
Substitutes
29Yota MaejimaDEF
33Kaoru YamawakiDEF
15Yuma TsujiokaDEF
37Masaya TashiroDEF
32Hanan SaniburaunFWD
28Reiju TsurunoFWD
99Powell Obinna ObiGK
8Kohei OkunoMID
14Shintaro NagoMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersGamba Osaka
No reported absences
Avispa Fukuoka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Gamba Osaka Win1.85 (50.2%)
Avispa Fukuoka Win4.19 (26.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.14 (48.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.68 (51.4%)
Both Teams Score1.92 (52.2%)
BTTS No1.78 (47.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.35 (23.3%)
