FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
#2 · J1 League
WWDWD
5 - 2
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
#6 · J1 League
LWDDL
★ OUR PICK
FC Tokyo to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Mito Hollyhock make FC Tokyo the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.77
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for FC Tokyo to Win. Our model calculates a 56.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Tokyo will face Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Tokyo has a 56.8% probability of winning this match. Mito Hollyhock has a 20.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Tokyo have won 3 of their last 5 games
- FC Tokyo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — FC Tokyo56.8%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.6%1.63
Both Teams to Score
No52.2%1.68
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.23
19.2%
1-1
6.25
16.1%
2-0
6.83
14.7%
0-0
7.42
13.6%
2-1
7.86
12.8%
0-1
10.31
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.72 | Draw 3.42 | Away 5.04 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.23 | Under 1.63 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.39 | Under 2.78 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.12 | Under 1.20 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.06 | No 1.68 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.15 | 12 1.27 | X2 2.06 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals87.6%
Over 1.5 Goals66.6%
Over 2.5 Goals45.4%
Over 3.5 Goals22.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 | WWLWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 15 | LWWWL |
| 9 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 | LLLWL |
| 10 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFC TokyoMito Hollyhock
1.53Goals p.g.1.18
0.94Goals conceded p.g.1.71
29%Clean sheets24%
41%Win rate24%
2.47Avg goals in match2.88
Recent Results
FC TokyoLAST MATCHES
24 AprFC Tokyo5–2Mito HollyhockJ1 League
11 AprYokohama F. Marinos1–3FC TokyoJ1 League
05 AprFC Tokyo0–0Machida ZelviaJ1 League
01 AprMachida Zelvia0–3FC TokyoJ1 League
22 MarTokyo Verdy0–0FC TokyoJ1 League
18 MarJEF United Chiba1–2FC TokyoJ1 League
7Win41%
7Draw41%
2Lost12%
LAST MATCHESMito Hollyhock
24 AprFC Tokyo5–2Mito HollyhockJ1 League
19 AprMito Hollyhock2–0Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
11 AprJEF United Chiba1–1Mito HollyhockJ1 League
04 AprMito Hollyhock1–1KashimaJ1 League
22 MarKashiwa Reysol3–0Mito HollyhockJ1 League
18 MarMito Hollyhock1–0Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
4Win24%
6Draw35%
7Lost41%
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Tokyo4-4-2Confirmed
2Sei MuroyaDEF
42Kento HashimotoDEF
17Hayato InamuraDEF
24Alexander ScholzDEF
9Marcelo RyanFWD
23Ryunosuke SatoFWD
81Kim Seung-gyuGK
18Kento HashimotoMID
16Kein SatoMID
22Keita EndoMID
27Kyota TokiwaMID
Substitutes
15Rio OmoriDEF
3Masato MorishigeDEF
28Leon NozawaFWD
39Teruhito NakagawaFWD
55Divine Chinedu OtaniFWD
1Hayate TanakaGK
71Fuki YamadaMID
8Takahiro KoMID
10Keigo HigashiMID
Mito Hollyhock4-4-2Confirmed
25Takumi MaseDEF
6Takahiro IidaDEF
17Kenta ItakuraDEF
2Danilo CardosoDEF
10Arata WatanabeFWD
29Tada KeisukeFWD
34Konosuke NishikawaGK
19Taishi SembaMID
70Matheus LeiriaMID
14Mizuki AraiMID
3Koshi OsakiMID
Substitutes
7Sho OmoriDEF
4Takeshi UshizawaDEF
9Ryo NemotoFWD
44Koya OkudaFWD
21Shuhei MatsubaraGK
33Koki AndoMID
39Yamamota HayataMID
24Kiichi YamazakiMID
48Yuto YamashitaMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Tokyo
No reported absences
Mito Hollyhock
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
FC Tokyo Win1.72 (56.8%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.23 (45.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.63 (54.6%)
Both Teams Score2.06 (47.8%)
BTTS No1.68 (52.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.42 (23%)
Mito Hollyhock Win5.04 (20.2%)
