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FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30
FC Krasnodar
#1 · Premier League
WWWDD
VS
Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
#13 · Premier League
LWWLD
67.9%
Home Win
17.1%
Draw
15%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.68
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 54.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , FC Krasnodar will face FC Orenburg in the Premier League at Ozon Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Krasnodar has a 67.9% probability of winning this match. FC Orenburg has a 15% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.1%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • FC Krasnodar have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • FC Krasnodar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • FC Krasnodar sit 1st in the table, 12 places above their opponents
  • FC Krasnodar average 2.0 goals per game

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Strong confidence
Match Result
1 — FC Krasnodar67.9%1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.6%1.69
Both Teams to Score
No54%1.67
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 2 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-0
6.07
16.5%
1-0
6.88
14.5%
3-0
7.70
13%
2-1
8.55
11.7%
1-1
9.45
10.6%
4-0
10.38
10%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.36Draw 5.75Away 8.57
O/U 2.5Over 1.69Under 2.30
O/U 1.5Over 1.17Under 4.40
O/U 3.5Over 2.53Under 1.46
BTTSYes 2.09No 1.67
Double Chance1X 1.0912 1.17X2 3.38

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
36.6%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Krasnodar
28196356213563
WWWDD
2
Zenit
28188250183262
WWDWD
3
Lokomotiv
281311452361650
DLDWD
4
Spartak Moscow
2814684538748
LWLWD
5
Baltika
281113437181946
LLDDD
6
CSKA Moscow
2813693931845
LDDDL
13
FC Orenburg
2868142841-1326
LWWLD
14
Dinamo Makhachkala
2859141836-1824
LLDLD
15
Nizhny Novgorod
2864182346-2322
LLLDD
16
FC Sochi
2863192757-3021
WLWWW

Key Statistics

2025 Season
FC KrasnodarFC Orenburg
2.05Goals p.g.1.06
0.9Goals conceded p.g.0.94
38%Clean sheets22%
62%Win rate39%
2.95Avg goals in match2

Recent Results

FC KrasnodarLAST MATCHES
03 MayAkron0–1FC KrasnodarPremier League
26 AprFC Krasnodar2–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
23 AprSpartak Moscow1–2FC KrasnodarPremier League
19 AprFC Krasnodar2–2BaltikaPremier League
12 AprZenit1–1FC KrasnodarPremier League
08 AprDynamo0–0FC KrasnodarCup
13Win62%
4Draw19%
4Lost19%
LAST MATCHESFC Orenburg
03 MayFC Sochi3–1FC OrenburgPremier League
25 AprFC Rostov0–1FC OrenburgPremier League
22 AprFC Orenburg2–1Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
18 AprFC Orenburg0–1LokomotivPremier League
11 AprRubin0–0FC OrenburgPremier League
04 AprDynamo3–3FC OrenburgPremier League
7Win39%
2Draw11%
6Lost33%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

FC Krasnodar

No reported absences

FC Orenburg

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
FC Krasnodar Win1.36 (67.9%)
●Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.69 (52.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.30 (47.4%)
Both Teams Score2.09 (46%)
BTTS No1.67 (54%)
●Speculative
Draw5.75 (17.1%)
FC Orenburg Win8.57 (15%)
FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg Predictions, Stats, H2H - 17 May 2026 | SureTipsPro