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Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30
Dinamo Makhachkala
#14 · Premier League
LLDLD
VS
Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk
Spartak Moscow
#4 · Premier League
LWLWD
28.6%
Home Win
22.6%
Draw
48.8%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.71
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Dinamo Makhachkala will face Spartak Moscow in the Premier League at Anzhi Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Dinamo Makhachkala has a 28.6% probability of winning this match. Spartak Moscow has a 48.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Spartak Moscow sit 4th in the table, 10 places above their opponents
  • Dinamo Makhachkala have kept clean sheets in 42% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Spartak Moscow48.8%1.94
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.5%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No50.3%1.73
Based on avg. implied odds from 2 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
0-1
5.50
18.2%
1-1
6.25
16%
0-2
7.65
13.1%
0-0
7.80
12.8%
1-2
8.30
12.1%
1-0
9.00
11.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 4.13Draw 3.73Away 1.94
O/U 2.5Over 2.30Under 1.69
O/U 1.5Over 1.38Under 2.82
O/U 3.5Over 4.10Under 1.20
BTTSYes 1.99No 1.73
Double Chance1X 1.9412 1.32X2 1.27

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
67.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
45.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
22.6%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Krasnodar
28196356213563
WWWDD
2
Zenit
28188250183262
WWDWD
3
Lokomotiv
281311452361650
DLDWD
4
Spartak Moscow
2814684538748
LWLWD
5
Baltika
281113437181946
LLDDD
6
CSKA Moscow
2813693931845
LDDDL
14
Dinamo Makhachkala
2859141836-1824
LLDLD
15
Nizhny Novgorod
2864182346-2322
LLLDD
16
FC Sochi
2863192757-3021
WLWWW

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Dinamo MakhachkalaSpartak Moscow
1.47Goals p.g.1.7
0.89Goals conceded p.g.1.3
42%Clean sheets25%
47%Win rate55%
2.37Avg goals in match3

Recent Results

Dinamo MakhachkalaLAST MATCHES
02 MayDinamo Makhachkala1–2FC RostovPremier League
26 AprFC Krasnodar2–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
23 AprAkron1–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
19 AprDinamo Makhachkala0–1ZenitPremier League
12 AprLokomotiv1–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
05 AprDinamo Makhachkala2–2BaltikaPremier League
9Win47%
4Draw21%
6Lost32%
LAST MATCHESSpartak Moscow
01 MayKrylia Sovetov2–1Spartak MoscowPremier League
26 AprNizhny Novgorod1–2Spartak MoscowPremier League
23 AprSpartak Moscow1–2FC KrasnodarPremier League
19 AprSpartak Moscow3–1AkhmatPremier League
12 AprFC Rostov1–1Spartak MoscowPremier League
08 AprZenit0–0Spartak MoscowCup
11Win55%
4Draw20%
5Lost25%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Dinamo Makhachkala

No reported absences

Spartak Moscow

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets
Dinamo Makhachkala Win4.13 (28.6%)
Spartak Moscow Win1.94 (48.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.30 (45.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.69 (54.5%)
Both Teams Score1.99 (49.7%)
BTTS No1.73 (50.3%)
●Speculative
Draw3.73 (22.6%)
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow Predictions, Stats, H2H - 17 May 2026 | SureTipsPro